Which firearm will receive the most votes in Idaho's State Gun advisory question? (2026)

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $44 today · $4.9K traded · $3.2K at stake · prices read 66 min ago

The odds

67%Winchester Model 1873 (.44-40)
  • Winchester Model 1873 (.44-40)67%▼ 1
  • 1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver (.45 Colt)14%▼ 1
  • M1 Garand rifle (.30-06)7%
  • Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP)6%
  • Winchester Model 1894 (.30-30)4%▲ 1
  • Remington Model 700 bolt-action rifle (.30-06)3%

How the odds have moved

Winchester Model 1873 (.44-40): 56% on Oct 20, 67% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Winchester Model 1873 (.44-40) 67% ▼ 1 66¢ 68¢ $1.47 6.1K
1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver (.45 Colt) 14% ▼ 1 13¢ 16¢ $6.25 4.9K
M1 Garand rifle (.30-06) 7% 5¢ 8¢ $12.50 582
Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP) 6% 2¢ 9¢ $11.11 1.1K
Winchester Model 1894 (.30-30) 4% ▲ 1 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 967
Remington Model 700 bolt-action rifle (.30-06) 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 380

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Idaho's State Gun

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  • Idaho State Gun question on ballots is a waste of voters’ timeThe Argonaut · 3 days agoThe legislature should be focused on things that improve Idahoans lives One of the items appearing on the November Midterm Ballot is Advisory Question: House Bill 932. This item lets voters cast their opinions on what the Idaho State Gun…
  • LETTERS TO THE EDITOR: Truth under attack, citizen rights, endorsementsIdaho Press · 8 days agoLetters to the editor image — Idaho Press THINK ABOUT HOW YOU WANT TO BE REMEMBERED I am in the winter of my life and I have learned much, have made plenty of mistakes and no doubt hurt and misunderstood others along the way. I am…
  • Ferro: Lots to hope for in from this electionIdaho Press · 12 days agoLiving in a state with a red trifecta — Republicans holding the governorship and both houses of the legislature — means we miss much of the hoopla of elections — no outrageous ads by Elon Musk or rallies with the president. Trump has 36…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions