Hennepin County Attorney winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $51 traded · $42 at stake · prices read 11 h ago

The odds

73%Anders Folk

Anders Folk73%
Cedrick Frazier27%▲ 3

How the odds have moved

Anders Folk: 79% on Oct 19, 73% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Anders Folk	73%		1¢	92¢	$1.09	12.00
Cedrick Frazier	27%	▲ 3	4¢	98¢	$1.02	157

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Hennepin County Attorney, Anders Folk, Cedrick Frazier

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Cedrick Frazier on his vision for Hennepin County Attorney: 'Support, not surprises'FOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul · 4 days agoCandidate for Hennepin County Attorney's Office, Cedrick Frazier, spoke about his vision ahead of the election and what sets him apart from his opponent, Anders Folk. MINNEAPOLIS (FOX 9) - Cedrick Frazier continues to make his case to…
Anders Folk will hold the line on crimeEden Prairie Local News · 5 days agoAnders Folk’s recent commentary in EPLN hit the nail on the head. When gunfire broke out at the EPHS homecoming game, sending students and parents running for safety, it exposed a truth we can no longer ignore: Hennepin County’s public…
Anders Folk on his campaign for Hennepin County AttorneyFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul · 7 days agoHennepin County Attorney candidate Anders Folk joined All Day ahead of the November general election. (FOX 9) - FOX 9 has extended an invitation to candidates in several of the major races in Minnesota ahead of Election Day. On Monday…
Minnesota election 2026: Hennepin County Attorney candidate Anders FolkFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul · 8 days agoFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul Hennepin County Attorney candidate Anders Folk joined All Day ahead of the November general election.
LETTER: Edina mayor for Folkhometownsource.com · 5 days agohometownsource.com To the Editor:The job as Hennepin County Attorney is about leading the largest county attorney's office in the state, in the most populous county in the state, with the highest level of enforcement activity from both a…
Competing visions of a prosecutor's role on the ballot in Hennepin County attorney contestMPR News · 8 days agoThe election for Hennepin County attorney has received relatively little attention from a public focused on bigger statewide races and the national political climate. But the contest between former acting Minnesota U.S. Attorney Anders…
Trump administration stopped sharing evidence in Good and Pretti killings, Minnesota officials sayThe Miami Times · 4 days agoWith President Donald Trump headed to Florida to boost gubernatorial candidate Byron Donalds, Florida Democratic Party Chair Nikki Fried is calling the “self-congratulatory MAGA pep rally” a “last-ditch effort to save Florida Republicans’…
Amy Klobuchar has already told us who she isNewsBreak · 5 days agoTwo months after taking office as Hennepin County Attorney in 1999, Amy Klobuchar rearranged the furniture in the office’s reception area. The next day, the furniture had been moved back. Klobuchar moved the furniture again. Someone moved…
Hennepin County deserves strong public safety leadershipEden Prairie Local News · 7 days agoWhen public safety is threatened in Hennepin County, the county attorney must lead from the front. In recent weeks, gang violence has shaken communities across Minnesota, including Eden Prairie, where shots rang out at a high school…
Minnesota governor candidates take the stage for debates this weekMPR News · 9 days agoThe leading candidates for Minnesota governor will face off for the first time during events in greater Minnesota this week. Democrat Amy Klobuchar and Republican Lisa Demuth will appear at a business forum in Brainerd on Monday morning…
Hennepin County Attorney candidates go head-to-head (and laugh-for-laugh)Eden Prairie Local News · 12 days agoEditor’s note: Cedrick Frazier and Anders Folk face each other in the Nov. 3 election for Hennepin County attorney. Read coverage of the race following the August primary. For more on the candidates’ positions, read their individual…
Crime is down in Minnesota but public safety is an election issue again. What are candidates saying?Twin Cities · 9 days agoViolent crimes like murder and assault have steadily declined in Minnesota after reaching a pandemic-era peak in 2021. But that hasn’t stopped public safety from being thrust to the center of elections for top statewide offices in recent…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onMinnesota Secretary of State, Hennepin County Elections

Trading closesNov 3, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$51 (168 contracts)

This week$24

At stake$42

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Cedrick Frazier wins the 2026 Hennepin County Attorney general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions