Harris County Judge winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $2.9K traded · $1.6K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

92%Letitia Plummer

Letitia Plummer92%▲ 1
Orlando Sanchez8%

How the odds have moved

Letitia Plummer: 91% on Oct 20, 92% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Letitia Plummer	92%	▲ 1	91¢	94¢	$1.06	2.7K
Orlando Sanchez	8%		7¢	10¢	$10.00	4.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Harris County Judge, Letitia Plummer, Orlando Sanchez

Search ›

Orlando Sanchez, Letitia Plummer clash over dental disciplinary recordChron · 3 days agoOrlando Sanchez cited Letitia Plummer's dental disciplinary history during his closing remarks at the Harris County judge debate. The Harris County judge race has grown increasingly ugly online. Thursday night's debate was mostly…
Harris County Judge candidates discuss important issues in debate ahead of Election DayABC13 Houston · 3 days agoThe candidates covered issues such as affordability and Flock cameras. HARRIS COUNTY, Texas (KTRK) -- Letitia Plummer and Orlando Sanchez faced off Thursday night to debate issues that matter to Harris County voters. Both candidates are…
Harris County Judge candidates face off in debate over ICE, Flock cameras, and the future of the AstrodomeHouston Public Media · 4 days agoIn a debate presented by Houston Public Media, both candidates agreed that Harris County should branch out and expand their relationships with other elected bodies — but they differed in how that looks in practice. The two candidates for…
Why Houston and Harris County don't share more public servicesChron · 2 days agoWhy is Houston and Harris County so church and state? Houston and Harris County residents practically drive on the same roads, visit the same parks and use the same libraries. So why are the city and county so separated, and why don't they…
Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett visits Stockton, urges participation in local electionsStocktonia News · 3 days agoU.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett of Texas visited downtown Stockton Thursday evening to encourage participation in local elections and support City Council candidate Tamica Small, who is challenging District 1 incumbent Michele Padilla in the…
Today on Texas Standard: Texas women bring homegrown horror to ‘Beneath the Bluebonnets’Texas Standard · 4 days agoBy Texas StandardOctober 22, 2026 8:43 amTexas Standard Original, Whole Shows Here’s what’s coming up on Texas Standard for Thursday, Oct. 22, 2026. Listen on your Texas public radio station, or ask your smart speaker to play Texas…
Early voting: Harris County judge candidates split on property taxes and safetyKPRC · 7 days agoHOUSTON – What would the next Harris County judge do about your property taxes, public safety, and unfinished flood projects? And how would those campaign promises become decisions? ENOUGH put those questions to Democrat Letitia Plummer…
Black Neighborhoods Help Drive Record Early Voting in Harris County@AframNews · 30 h agoHARRIS COUNTY, Texas — Harris County opened the 2026 midterm voting period at a record pace, with historically Black neighborhoods among the communities posting some of the sharpest turnout gains. Unofficial figures from the Harris County…
Forget Talarico. For Houston Hispanic voters, it's about Salgado.Houston Chronicle · 4 days agoProtestors march from Hidalgo Park to the memorial site for Lorenzo Salgado Araujo, a man killed by Immigration and Customs Enforcement, to find justice for his death in Houston, Friday, July 24, 2026. When David Parra heard that a man had…
Texas Midterms: Who’s Winning the Battle for Voters?Houston Public Media · 3 days agoCo-hosts Brandon Rottinghaus and Jeronimo Cortina delve into the latest news in politics Will democrats take back the United States House of Representatives. Who will win the Texas senate race? What does the Latino vote look like…
Hello Houston (October 22, 2026)Houston Public Media · 4 days agoToday: We spotlight the Harris County Judge debate that Houston Public Media is hosting tonight, break down the elections for the Texas State Board of Education, and unpack NFL quarterback Jalen Hurts’ blood clot diagnosis. Plus, “Current…
Harris County Judge Nominee Plummer's Houston Council ServiceHoodline · 8 days agoLetitia Plummer, the Democratic nominee for Harris County judge, previously served on Houston City Council and is now campaigning to lead Harris County government. The Houston Chronicle reported on Plummer's campaign for Harris County…

Related markets

All elections ›

Elections › Around the world

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

>99%Student List – Students Win

Student List – Students Win>99%▲ 73
Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia<1%▼ 74
Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%

7 more

Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%
Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%
Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification<1%
Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić<1%
Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović<1%
European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš<1%
SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak<1%

Elections › Around the world

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

>99%Lula da Silva <4%

Lula da Silva <4%>99%▲ 82
Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+<1%▼ 1
Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%<1%▼ 5

5 more

Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%<1%▼ 36
Flávio Bolsonaro <4%<1%▼ 38
Lula da Silva 4-8%<1%▼ 1
Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%
Lula da Silva 12%+<1%

Elections › President 2028

Which party will win the House in 2026?

92%Democratic Party

Democratic Party92%
Republican Party9%

Elections › Around the world

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

68%Yashar

Yashar68%
Likud31%
Together1%

3 more

Shas<1%
The Democrats<1%
Otzma Yehudit<1%

Elections › President 2028

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

65%Democrats Sweep

Democrats Sweep65%
R Senate, D House26%▲ 1
Republicans Sweep7%

2 more

D Senate, R House1%
Other<1%

Elections › Governors

Texas Governor winner? (2026)

69%Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott69%▲ 1
Gina Hinojosa32%▼ 2

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onHarris County Clerk Elections Department

Trading closesNov 3, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$2.9K (7,579 contracts)

This week$515

At stake$1.6K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Orlando Sanchez wins the 2026 Harris County Judge general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions