Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
198.4median
160230
Median 198.4Middle half 189.8 – 203.8
Install
Will FIFA scrap its Peace Prize at its December meeting? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
The odds
40%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 40% on Oct 20, 40% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40% | 36¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 3.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Peace Prize, FIFA
Search ›-
‘No one else in the world more deserving’: White House defends President Trump’s FIFA Peace Prize winFIFA is taking a second look at the Peace Prize it handed to President Donald Trump last December, with one of its committees now deciding whether the award should even exist going forward. The White House, however, is standing by Trump's… -
FIFA reconsiders controversial ‘Peace Prize’ it gave Donald TrumpWhen FIFA president Gianni Infantino handed President Donald Trump the governing body's first-ever Peace Prize last December, the move drew plenty of criticism from around the soccer world. Less than a year later, the future of that award… -
FIFA to Reconsider Peace Prize After Trump Received Inaugural AwardThe future of the FIFA Peace Prize that was awarded to U.S. President Donald Trump last year is in doubt after the FIFA Council enlisted a committee to reassess it. At a meeting in Zurich Thursday, the council tasked the FIFA Football… -
FIFA considers scrapping controversial peace prize given to TrumpFIFA President Gianni Infantino may be forced to scrap the organization’s new peace prize after his move to award the honor last year to President Donald Trump stoked internal controversy at the global governing body for soccer. One… -
Trump To Remain First & Only Winner Of FIFA Peace Prize? Why Infantino's Move May Get Red CardFIFA is actively considering scrapping the FIFA Peace Prize, which could leave US President Donald Trump as its first and only winner. During a high-level FIFA Council meeting in Zurich, several council members heavily pressured FIFA… -
FIFA to Investigate Peace Prize Awarded to TrumpOct 16, 2026 at 06:30 AM EDT A FIFA committee will review the "Peace Prize" created last year and awarded to President Donald Trump as part of a broader examination of governance decisions made during Gianni Infantino's presidency. "It was… -
FIFA faces scrutiny over controversial Peace Prize awarded to Donald Trump as calls grow for investigation into the decisionFIFA is reviewing the future of its “FIFA Peace Prize,” created in 2025 and awarded to President Donald Trump, amid scrutiny of governance decisions made under FIFA President Gianni Infantino. The organization’s Council tasked its Football… - Fact Check: Did Russia award Trump the first-ever Kremlin Peace Prize?WASHINGTON, DC: Amid controversy over President Donald Trump’s decision to lift several Russian sanctions through an executive order, a rumor began circulating on social media claiming that Russia had awarded Trump its first-ever Kremlin…
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Hegseth: “US Military Should Win Nobel Peace Prize”October 18, 2026 Military, Trump Administration Via press release from the Pentagon: Before attending a football game between Tennessee’s Volunteers and the University of Alabama’s Crimson Tide, the secretary administered the oath of… -
Infantino told by top Fifa figures to scrap or depoliticise peace prize after Trump furoreBacklash greeted award of prize to US president Fifa committee to make recommendations this year Donald Trump is likely to end up as the only political leader awarded the Fifa peace prize after Gianni Infantino was told at Thursday’s… -
Digested week: No Nobel again for Trump but he looks a cert to retain Fifa peace prizeWith his war in Iran and siding with Russia, it’s hard to think of someone who has done more to make the world a safer placeIn hindsight it might have been more, shall we say, diplomatic if Donald Trump had taken a few deep breaths after… - FIFA committee to assess whether Peace Prize should be abolished — Al JazeeraIn Switzerland, following a FIFA Council meeting in Zurich, FIFA's Social Responsibility Committee was tasked with assessing the appropriateness of the existence of the FIFA Peace Prize. Several FIFA Council members demanded that the award…
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When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Feb 9, 2028even chance by
- Before Nov 1, 20262%
- Before Dec 1, 20265%
- Before Jan 1, 20278%
14 more
- Before Feb 1, 20279%
- Before Mar 1, 202714%▼ 2
- Before Apr 1, 202718%
- Before May 1, 202720%▼ 1
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- Before Oct 1, 202737%
- Before Nov 1, 202741%
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- Before Jul 1, 202856%
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.