Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Starlink
71%
22¢
73¢
$1.37
12.00
Satellite
66%
▲ 11
49¢
66¢
$1.52
21.00
Starbase
55%
▲ 25
2¢
23¢
$4.35
38.00
Trump
55%
36¢
54¢
$1.85
11.00
Starship
52%
▲ 2
7¢
44¢
$2.27
5.00
China / Chinese
51%
▲ 2
7¢
31¢
$3.23
2.00
Optimus
45%
▲ 2
40¢
50¢
$2.00
28.00
OpenAI / Altman
45%
12¢
43¢
$2.33
12.00
Nvidia
40%
▲ 1
8¢
34¢
$2.94
108
DOGE / Department Of Government Efficiency
34%
22¢
41¢
$2.44
449
Colossus
25%
6¢
24¢
$4.17
4.00
Meridian
25%
9¢
31¢
$3.23
46.00
AI / Artificial Intelligence
7%
▼ 68
2¢
36¢
$2.78
359
Event does not qualify
4%
1¢
7¢
$14.29
7.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Elon Musk, Musk, New York Times DealBook Summit
Elon Musk REVEALS why Starlink was disrupted in UkraineFox News · 25 h agoSpaceX CEO Elon Musk explained in an X post why Starlink access was disrupted in Ukraine, saying that the country's military violated the terms of service. Elon Musk REVEALS why Starlink was disrupted in Ukraine
Elon Musk details why Ukraine’s Starlink service was disruptedFox News · 24 h agoFox News chief foreign correspondent Trey Yingst reports on the latest Russia attacks on Ukraine and breaks down concerns about Starlink access. The ‘Fox News Sunday’ panel provides analysis. Elon Musk details why Ukraine’s Starlink…
Elon Musk Says Ukraine Violated Starlink TermsNewsweek · 41 h agoOct 24, 2026 at 05:30 PM EDT Amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, Elon Musk said Kyiv violated the terms of SpaceX’s commercial Starlink service by using it for offensive drone strikes, as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said…
SpaceX closes $40 billion debt deal for AI chips, Elon Musk saysCNBC · 18 h agoElon Musk said SpaceX has closed $40 billion in debt financing to purchase graphics processing units, or GPUs, used to power artificial intelligence systems. In a post on X on Sunday, Musk said SpaceX had closed the financing, adding that…
US military gives Elon Musk’s SpaceX access to sensitive tracking datathe Guardian · 30 h agoThis gives the company an advantage in tracking objects in orbit, raising national security concerns and fears of greater control over the space industry The US military has given Elon Musk’s SpaceX access to restricted space tracking…
Democrat James Talarico targets Elon Musk at rally: ‘Texas is not for sale’the Guardian · 3 days agoThe Senate candidate denounced opponent Ken Paxton, calling out corruption allegations and support from Musk James Talarico, the Democratic candidate for the US Senate in Texas, has taken aim at Elon Musk, warning that the tech mogul is…
Elon Musk’s dangerous grip on outer spaceThe Verge · 3 days agoAs SpaceX throttles Ukraine’s Starshield, experts warn that Elon Musk’s de facto monopoly over launch and satellite tech poses a major threat to global security. The finger-pointing is of little interest to Ukrainians, who are focused on…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
