Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
11%chance▲ 3
Install
Will Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms? (Before Nov 2026)
The odds
1%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 2% on Oct 19, 1% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 10.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Chuck Edwards, House
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Obama Mocks Trump’s White House RenovationsOct 24, 2026 at 07:24 PM EDT Former President Barack Obama took several shots at President Donald Trump's focus on White House renovations during a rally in Ohio on Saturday, joking that Trump "should be on HGTV" and ridiculing reports of… -
Trump Renews Talks of Pardoning White House StaffOct 24, 2026 at 06:55 PM EDT President Donald Trump left the door open to pardons for White House staff and administration officials, telling reporters on Saturday that he would be "allowed" to grant them despite insisting he has not given… -
White House takes new actions ahead of midterm electionsNBC News Catastrophic flooding prompts rescues Good News: Unlikely friendship leads to trip of a lifetime White House takes new actions ahead of midterm elections All-out fight for critical battleground states ramps up Inside the battle… -
Intel chiefs stand by defense of Signal chat at House hearing after new texts emergeUpdated on: March 26, 2025 / 1:56 PM EDT / CBS News Washington — Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard and CIA Director John Ratcliffe defended their participation in a group chat on the encrypted messaging app Signal that… -
Woman hospitalized after Miami house fire leaves three displacedCBS News Bay Area Evening Edition Weekend 5pm CBS News Philadelphia 7:30pm KDKA News at 7 CBS13 News Weekend 5pm CBS News Texas Saturday 5pm -
Dramatic footage captures car smashing into house during South Carolina police chaseDramatic dashcam footage captured a car smashing into a house during a police chase before two people fled on foot. Two police cars arrived moments after the crash on Renwood Road in Simpsonville, South Carolina, with one pursuing one of… -
Obama rips Trump for tariffs and White House renovations as he touts El-Sayed in DetroitBarack Obama ripped and ridiculed President Trump at a Detroit rally Saturday night — where he vouched for Abdul El-Sayed, despite the lefty Michigan Democratic Senate candidate’s past criticism of him. The former president took on Trump… -
Ex-White House Press Sec. issues blunt challenge to Newsom, Bass: ‘Maybe they should call’President Donald Trump’s former White House press secretary has a tip for California’s Democratic leaders: Work with the president, and maybe California will “look a lot better.” Karoline Leavitt, who left her post in August, appeared on… -
Obama compares Trump's White House renovations to 'Saddam Hussein opening a Cheesecake Factory' at Ohio rallyFormer President Barack Obama returned to the campaign circuit Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026, during a midterm rally in Ohio for U.S. Senate candidate Sherrod Brown and gubernatorial candidate Amy Acton. Former President Barack Obama mocked… -
How a California mansion filled with surrogate children became a 'House of Horrors'In May 2025, a two-month-old baby named Walter was taken to hospital in the affluent Californian suburb of Arcadia, with a head injury. A woman who claimed to be his mother said the baby had accidentally fallen from bed per police report… -
Runners and walkers support Ronald McDonald House with 5K in South JerseyCBS News Bay Area Evening Edition Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6pm CBS News New York CBS News Philadelphia 7:30pm KDKA News at 7 CBS13 News Weekend 5pm CBS News Texas Saturday 5pm -
I gave my ex our house and half my savings, but now I feel resentfulYour feelings are understandable. Exploring and accepting them may help you move on I was with my ex-partner for more than 20 years. We were mostly happy and I expected us to be together for life. For well over half the relationship, I was…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions