Brazil Presidential Election
>99%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
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City of Edinburgh Council election winner? (2027)
The odds
33%SNP
- SNP33%
- Lib Dems26%
- Green17%
- Labour15%
- Conservatives5%
- Reform UK4%
How the odds have moved
SNP: 33% on Oct 19, 33% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNP | 33% | 29¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | ||
| Lib Dems | 26% | 22¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | ||
| Green | 17% | 13¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | ||
| Labour | 15% | 11¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | ||
| Conservatives | 5% | 1¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | ||
| Reform UK | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: City of Edinburgh Council, Lib Dems
Search ›-
Lib Dems urged to ditch Cherwell Greens in antisemitism rowConservative councillors have called on the Liberal Democrats to end power-sharing arrangements with the Green Party in Cherwell following the Greens' controversial national policy on Zionism. The call comes after Sir Ed Davey, leader of… -
Pauline Jorgensen: The Lib Dems are ignoring residents’ wishes in WokinghamCllr Pauline Jorgensen is the Leader of the Conservative Group on Wokingham Borough Council Voters can forgive mistakes. What is much harder to forgive is saying one thing before an election and doing the opposite afterwards. Housing is… -
Jane Dodds resigns as Welsh Lib Dem leaderWELSH Liberal Democrats have to find a new leader after Jane Dodds announced today she will be standing down after nine years in the role. Ms Dodds had some notable success as her party’s single Senedd member securing £100 million of… -
Budget: Lib Dems Unveil £14 Billion Breathing Space Package To Cut Energy, Transport And Hospitality CostsTom Gordon MP for Harrogate and Knaresborough said: "This budget should be about putting money back in your pockets. The Lib Dem package would save households an average of £350 on average, cut heating bills, get people moving and give… -
JANE DODDS: Welsh Lib Dem leader stands down after nine years, saying a ‘new generation’ should rebuild the partyJane Dodds is standing down as leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats after nine years, telling members the job of rebuilding the party “should be led by a new generation”. She stays on as the Member of the Senedd for Brycheiniog Tawe Nedd… -
Can Newcastle City Council's Lib Dem-Green deal survive 'Zionism is racism' motion storm?Newcastle Lib Dem and Green group leaders Colin Ferguson and Nick Hartley signing a 'Stability and Co-operation Agreement' to decide the future of the city council.(Image: Newcastle City Council) The fallout from the Green Party’s… -
Councillors to vote on efforts to support hundreds of artists facing evictionImperilled tenants at St Margaret’s House received notice in late September that they must leave the hub by January 24, 2027. The centre in Meadowbank has rented out space to artists for nearly 20 years through charity Scot-ART… -
Jane Dodds stands down as Welsh Lib Dem leaderJane Dodds is standing down as leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats. Earlier today she said: I have decided to stand down as Leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats. Leading this party has been the honour of my life. When I was elected… -
Court papers reveal mayor's £2.7m interest in major rail schemeTom Wootton said he had "declared everything" he had to in connection with the East West Rail project An elected mayor who campaigned against East West Rail's preferred route had a major financial interest in the project which was not… -
Plaid Cymru leads Reform by three points in Senedd pollPlaid Cymru holds a three-point lead over Reform UK in voting intentions for a Senedd election, according to a Beaufort Research poll for Nation.Cymru. The results showed neither a big boost for Labour nor a downturn for Reform. As always… -
Four London councils challenge funding reformsThe councils' leaders say services will be hit due to funding cuts Four London council leaders have formally submitted a challenge to government reforms that are set to see their central funding slashed by up to 58%. The leaders of… -
Scottish Government activates emergency response to Storm BoeloSCOTTISH ministers have activated the Scottish Government’s Resilience Room (SGORR) to prepare for Storm Boelo. Forecasters have issued an amber warning for much of Scotland on Saturday evening into Sunday as the storm hits, the day after…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions