Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes? (Before 2034)

Kalshi Elections Closes Jan 1, 2034 · $358 traded · $153 at stake · prices read 13 h ago

The odds

31%Before 2034
  • Before 203431%▲ 1
  • Before 203221%
  • Before 20308%
  • Before 20287%

How the odds have moved

Before 2034: 30% on Oct 19, 31% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before 2034 31% ▲ 1 26¢ 35¢ $2.86 597
Before 2032 21% 16¢ 25¢ $4.00 441
Before 2030 8% 4¢ 13¢ $7.69 808
Before 2028 7% 3¢ 10¢ $10.00 277

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: NPVIC

Search ›

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All elections ›
Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

44%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance44%
  • Marco Rubio15%
  • Tucker Carlson3%
40 more
  • Ron DeSantis3%
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Brian Kemp1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Josh Hawley<1%
  • Rand Paul<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Byron Donalds<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Joe Kent<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • John McEntee<1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.