Denton County Judge winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $8.2K traded · $1.8K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

88%Andy Eads

Andy Eads88%▼ 2
Nick Pappas7%▼ 3

How the odds have moved

Andy Eads: 88% on Oct 20, 88% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Andy Eads	88%	▼ 2	87¢	89¢	$1.12	8.7K
Nick Pappas	7%	▼ 3	3¢	10¢	$10.00	7.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Denton County Judge, Andy Eads, Nick Pappas

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On the ballot: Denton County Judge Andy Eads faces Democratic challenger; Precincts 2 and 4 commissioner seats are contestedDenton Record-Chronicle · 5 days agoHeading to the polls? Here’s an overview of the candidates running for Denton County judge and county commissioners for Precinct 2 and Precinct 4. Early voting is in effect until Oct. 30, and the general election will take place Nov. 3…
Meet the Candidates: Denton County Judge - Cross Timbers Gazette | Southern Denton County | Flower Mound | News@CrossTimbersGazette · 10 days agoSouthern Denton County voters will cast ballots Tuesday, Nov. 3, for numerous federal, state and county candidates, including a rematch for Texas House District 65. Early voting runs from Monday, Oct. 19, through Friday, Oct. 30, at 54…
Meet over 20 Denton County candidates at free event in Argyle this weekendDenton Record-Chronicle · 11 days agoMeet 21 candidates from four political parties running to represent Denton County this weekend at this free event in Argyle. Meet Your Candidates will be hosted on Sunday, Oct. 18, from 1-3 p.m. at the Front Porch at Harvest, located at…
Regional Transportation Council approves slight name changeFort Worth Report · 11 days agoThe 45-member transportation policy group, which recently settled a lawsuit with the North Central Texas Council of Governments over its legal and financial duties, gave initial approval to a slight name change at an Oct. 5 meeting. The…
Denton County election officials work to clear 42,000 voter registrations from DPS backlog before early votingDenton Record-Chronicle · 12 days agoNearly a month after the Texas Department of Public Safety discovered a software glitch that affected at least 200,000 voter registrations, the Denton County Elections Administration was still working earlier this week to clear about 2,500…
Letters — Dallas County Prop A, inflation, Vote411.org, RussiaDallas News · 12 days agoBill Dewbre, owner of Wild Bill's Western Store, fits Paul "Tiny" Sturgess for a cowboy hat at the Dallas store. The co-owner of the store discusses Dallas County's Prop A and how homelessness affects their store. Re: "Prop A could give…
Denton County judge and commissioner candidates talk data centers, ICE and more at League of Women Voters forumDenton Record-Chronicle · 14 days agoDemocratic candidates, Left to right, Nick Pappas, Stephanie Draper and Candace Valenzuela at a candidate forum held at the Denton County Administrative Courthouse on Saturday, Oct. 10, 2026, in Denton. Democratic candidate for Denton…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onDenton County Elections Administration

Trading closesNov 3, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$8.2K (15,960 contracts)

At stake$1.8K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Andy Eads wins the 2026 Denton County Judge general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions