What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia?
1%Kamala
- Kamala1%▼ 85
- Russia / Ukraine1%▼ 90
- Hyundai1%▼ 60
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What will the candidates say during Iowa Governor debate?
Settled Event does not qualifyA day before, traders gave it 98%.
The last odds before it closed
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- ✓ Event does not qualify99%▲ 13
- Trump (3+ times)6%▼ 12
- Property Tax (3+ times)1%▼ 5
- Cancer (3+ times)1%▼ 12
- Data Center1%▼ 4
- Voucher / School Choice1%▼ 4
- Eminent Domain1%▼ 18
- Ethanol / E151%▼ 1
- Medicaid1%▼ 11
- Budget / Deficit1%▼ 4
- Pesticide / Herbicide1%▼ 1
- Nitrate1%▼ 13
9 more
- Corrupt / Corruption1%▼ 4
- Abortion1%▼ 17
- Right To Repair1%▼ 12
- Vaccine / Vaccination1%▼ 21
- Fraud1%▼ 4
- China / Chinese1%▼ 4
- Tariff1%▼ 4
- AI / Artificial Intelligence1%▼ 2
- Glyphosate / Roundup1%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Event does not qualify: 46% on Oct 21, 98% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETEvent does not qualify: 46% → 68%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Event does not qualify | 99% | 5.1K | ||||
| ✗ Trump (3+ times) | 6% | 3.6K | ||||
| ✗ Property Tax (3+ times) | 1% | 1.2K | ||||
| ✗ Cancer (3+ times) | 1% | 619 | ||||
| ✗ Data Center | 1% | 1.2K | ||||
| ✗ Voucher / School Choice | 1% | 1.5K | ||||
| ✗ Eminent Domain | 1% | 535 | ||||
| ✗ Ethanol / E15 | 1% | 1.5K | ||||
| ✗ Medicaid | 1% | 1.0K | ||||
| ✗ Budget / Deficit | 1% | 1.4K | ||||
| ✗ Pesticide / Herbicide | 1% | 844 | ||||
| ✗ Nitrate | 1% | 965 | ||||
| ✗ Corrupt / Corruption | 1% | 922 | ||||
| ✗ Abortion | 1% | 252 | ||||
| ✗ Right To Repair | 1% | 568 | ||||
| ✗ Vaccine / Vaccination | 1% | 915 | ||||
| ✗ Fraud | 1% | 1.1K | ||||
| ✗ China / Chinese | 1% | 1.0K | ||||
| ✗ Tariff | 1% | 897 | ||||
| ✗ AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1% | 852 | ||||
| ✗ Glyphosate / Roundup | 1% | 537 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Iowa Press Debates, Iowa Governor, Governor
Search ›-
Iowa governor race sees record fundraisingIowa's competitive congressional and statewide races have brought in record high campaign fundraising hauls for the state ahead of the Nov. 3, 2026 election. Sand has raised more than twice as much as Lahn over the course of the 2026… -
Iowa Governor’s Race Is Most Expensive in State History: Who’s Funding It?Oct 21, 2026 at 02:48 PM EDT The Iowa race for governor has become the most expensive in state history, with Democrat Rob Sand and Republican Zach Lahn raising a combined $81 million for the campaign. Sand has raised about $54 million… -
Get the Facts: What to know about multi-cancer tests coming up in the Iowa governor's raceThe new tools have gained attention recently in Iowa, where residents are now No. 2 in the country for new cancer cases. The tests do not assess risk but detect cancer cells in blood samples taken at the time. Medical researchers and… -
Iowa governor race shatters state fundraising recordThe race to be the next Iowa governor is officially the most expensive in state history. CEDAR RAPIDS, Iowa (KCRG) - The race to be the next Iowa governor is officially the most expensive in state history. So far this year, Zach Lahn and… -
‘I think it’s time to try something different’ on Iowa governor, labor head says“More private schools, less healthcare, lower wages—we’ve already been headed in this direction as a state. I think it’s time to try something different.” That’s Charlie Wishman, president of the Iowa Federation of Labor AFL-CIO, the… -
Panel Reacts: Trump Rallies in Iowa for Hinson as Senate, Governor Races TightenTiffany Meier's panel reacts to President Trump’s Iowa stop boosting Republican Senate candidate Ashley Hinson against Democrat Josh Turek in a race Cook rates a toss-up, and weigh the record-breaking $81 million Iowa governor’s contest… -
Fundraising tight in Iowa’s competitive U.S. House racesDemocrat Christina Bohannan (left) speaks Oct. 21, 2024, during a debate with Republican U.S. Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks hosted by Iowa PBS in Johnston. The two are candidates again for the U.S. House seat in Iowa’s 1st Congressional… -
Pennsylvania governor expected to sign school cellphone ban into lawCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting… -
Political strategists on how Ramaswamy attack ad could affect Ohio governor's raceBacklash is continuing to grow after Ohio GOP gubernatorial nominee Vivek Ramaswamy's campaign posted an ad featuring his Democratic opponent's estranged mother, with President Trump defending the move and some Republicans condemning it… -
Wisconsin GOP governor candidate Tiffany ties his 2020 election objection to "Zuckerbucks"October 22, 2026 / 4:40 PM CDT / AP The Republican candidate for Wisconsin governor who supported President Donald Trump's attempts to overturn his 2020 loss in the battleground state said Wednesday he did it because of concerns with… -
Ohio Governor Urges Ramaswamy to Remove Amy Acton Attack Ad: ‘Just Wrong’Oct 22, 2026 at 11:28 AM EDT Ohio Governor Mike DeWine called on Republican gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy to take down advertisements featuring the mother of Democratic candidate Amy Acton. DeWine, a Republican, told reporters it… -
Ohio Governor Race Shifts in Amy Acton’s Favor Following Attack AdOct 22, 2026 at 10:26 AM EDT Oct 22, 2026 at 10:30 AM EDT The race for Ohio governor has shifted in Democrat Amy Acton’s favor, with Sabato’s Crystal Ball moving the contest from Toss-up to Leans Democratic after Republican Vivek…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.