Critics Choice Awards: Best Foreign Language Film (2027)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Jan 4, 2028 · $20 today · $29.1K traded · $12.4K at stake · prices read 58 min ago

The odds

27%La Bola Negra
  • La Bola Negra27%▼ 1
  • All of a Sudden26%
  • Possible Love17%▲ 1
  • Fjord16%▼ 1
  • Fatherland5%
  • Godzilla Minus Zero3%
  • Coward2%
  • Minotaur1%
  • Rose1%
  • Yellow Letters1%
  • Shame and Money1%
  • Woman Unknown1%
4 more
  • Everytime1%
  • La Gradiva1%
  • Iron Boy1%
  • Tie1%

How the odds have moved

La Bola Negra: 28% on Oct 20, 27% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
La Bola Negra 27% ▼ 1 25¢ 29¢ $3.45 69.7K
All of a Sudden 26% 25¢ 27¢ $3.70 14.8K
Possible Love 17% ▲ 1 16¢ 17¢ $5.88 14.2K
Fjord 16% ▼ 1 14¢ 17¢ $5.88 13.6K
Fatherland 5% 4¢ 6¢ $16.67 7.3K
Godzilla Minus Zero 3% 2¢ 4¢ $25.00 22.1K
Coward 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 5.7K
Minotaur 1% 2¢ $50.00 5.0K
Rose 1% 1¢ $100.00 7.6K
Yellow Letters 1% 1¢ $100.00 7.9K
Shame and Money 1% 1¢ $100.00 6.7K
Woman Unknown 1% 1¢ $100.00 21.5K
Everytime 1% 1¢ $100.00 7.0K
La Gradiva 1% 1¢ $100.00 8.8K
Iron Boy 1% 1¢ $100.00 8.2K
Tie 1% 1¢ $100.00 11.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Best Foreign Language Film, Critics Choice Awards, La Bola Negra

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Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

44%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey44%▲ 1
  • You Can See Everything28%▲ 6
  • La Bola Negra13%▼ 5
24 more
  • Dune: Part Three7%▼ 3
  • Digger3%▼ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine1%▼ 1
  • Artificial<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • The Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Behemoth!<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Tony<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • I Play Rocky<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • Saturn Return<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Clarissa<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fatherland<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

97%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey97%
  • La Bola Negra95%
  • Wild Horse Nine91%▼ 1
19 more
  • Dune: Part Three88%▲ 4
  • You Can See Everything81%▲ 9
  • Project Hail Mary77%
  • The Debut77%▼ 1
  • The Invite61%▲ 2
  • I Play Rocky45%▲ 3
  • All of a Sudden38%▲ 1
  • Fjord36%▲ 2
  • Obsession31%▼ 3
  • Elsinore31%
  • The Adventures of Cliff Booth24%▲ 3
  • Digger19%
  • Behemoth!18%▲ 1
  • Michael11%
  • Avengers: Doomsday7%▼ 2
  • Disclosure Day5%
  • Fatherland4%▼ 1
  • The Drama3%
  • The Social Reckoning2%▼ 3
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations

96%The Black Ball
  • The Black Ball96%
  • The Odyssey85%▼ 1
  • Project Hail Mary68%▲ 7
8 more
  • Dune: Part Three63%▼ 5
  • Digger63%▼ 1
  • Werwulf47%▼ 11
  • Sense and Sensibility37%▼ 3
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth20%▲ 1
  • Backrooms17%▼ 1
  • Wuthering Heights5%▼ 8
  • Wildwood4%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner

57%Christopher Nolan
  • Christopher Nolan57%▼ 4
  • Javier Calvo or Javier Ambrossi12%▼ 3
  • Lance Oppenheim12%▲ 8
18 more
  • Denis Villeneuve12%▼ 3
  • Alejandro G. Iñárritu1%▼ 1
  • Martin McDonagh1%
  • Olivia Wilde1%
  • Aaron Sorkin1%
  • Cristian Mungiu1%
  • Steven Spielberg<1%
  • Phil Lord or Christopher Miller<1%▼ 1
  • Jesse Eisenberg<1%
  • Andrew Haigh<1%
  • David Fincher<1%
  • Peter Farrelly<1%▼ 2
  • Ryusuke Hamaguchi<1%
  • Jordan Firstman<1%
  • Bassam Tariq<1%
  • David O. Russell<1%▼ 1
  • Joel Coen<1%▼ 1
  • Mike Leigh<1%▼ 1
Culture › Awards

The Game Awards: Game of the Year

84%Grand Theft Auto VI
  • Grand Theft Auto VI84%▲ 3
  • Resident Evil Requiem9%▲ 1
  • Phantom Blade Zero3%
21 more
  • Control Resonant1%▼ 3
  • Pragmata1%
  • Slay the Spire 21%
  • Marvel's Wolverine1%▼ 1
  • 007 First Light1%
  • Crimson Desert<1%
  • Onimusha: Way of the Sword<1%
  • Esoteric Ebb<1%
  • Half-Life 3<1%
  • Fable<1%
  • Saros<1%
  • The Duskbloods<1%
  • Marathon<1%
  • Stranger Than Heaven<1%
  • Cairn<1%
  • Nioh 3<1%
  • Forza Horizon 6<1%
  • Mouse: P.I. For Hire<1%
  • Gears of War: E-Day<1%
  • Reanimal<1%
  • Exodus<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.