Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?

Kalshi Politics › Congress Closes Dec 31 · $968 traded · $211 at stake · prices read 5 h ago

The odds

10%Roger Williams
  • Roger Williams10%
  • Susan Collins6%▼ 11
  • Ron Wyden4%
  • Nancy Pelosi4%
  • David Rouzer3%
  • Larry Bucshon2%
  • David Kustoff2%
  • Morgan McGarvey1%
  • Debbie Wasserman-Schultz1%
  • Pete Sessions1%

How the odds have moved

Roger Williams: 10% on Oct 20, 10% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Roger Williams 10% 8¢ 83¢ $1.20 715
Susan Collins 6% ▼ 11 2¢ 11¢ $9.09 973
Ron Wyden 4% 4¢ 31¢ $3.23 989
Nancy Pelosi 4% 3¢ 5¢ $18.87 11.0K
David Rouzer 3% 1¢ 4¢ $25.64 1.8K
Larry Bucshon 2% 1¢ 4¢ $25.64 2.2K
David Kustoff 2% 1¢ 4¢ $27.03 9.2K
Morgan McGarvey 1% 1¢ 42¢ $2.38 628
Debbie Wasserman-Schultz 1% 2¢ 81¢ $1.23 1.3K
Pete Sessions 1% 1¢ 32¢ $3.13 564

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Roger Williams, Susan Collins, Ron Wyden

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions