Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
10%chance▲ 3
Install
Will Congressional salaries increase?
The odds
49%Before Jan 1, 2030
- Before Jan 1, 202711%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202830%
- Before Jan 1, 202940%
- Before Jan 1, 203049%
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 11% on Oct 19, 11% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 11% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 380 |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 30% | 26¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 230 | |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 40% | 35¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 209 | |
| Before Jan 1, 2030 | 49% | 45¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 18.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Members of Congress, Congressional
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Police investigate suspicious mail sent to 3 Illinois members of CongressCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Police investigate… -
Maryland members of Congress, elections officials targeted by suspicious lettersAlmost every member of Congress from Maryland, as well as the state’s elections office, received ominous letters filled with what turned out to be a nontoxic powder at one of their offices in the last week. It makes Maryland offices the… -
These former feds could be members of Congress next yearA Kansas resident fills out his ballot for the midterms on the first day of in-person voting in Lawrence, Kan., on Oct. 14. Around a dozen former federal employees are candidates in upcoming general congressional elections. Austin Johnson… -
Pelosi latest member of Congress to receive suspicious letter at district officeDan McMenamin is the managing editor at Bay City News, directing daily news coverage of the 12-county greater Bay Area. He has worked for BCN since 2008 and has been managing editor since 2014 after previously serving as BCN’s San… -
The Art of Ambushing Members of CongressRead more about our dedication to animal rights › Read all of our online articles › by Peter Monaghan Criminal Punishment Police body cameras were meant to hold officers accountable. On YouTube and beyond, they’ve become a wildly… -
NATCA Members Give Members of Congress Tours of Detroit ATCT and Detroit TRACONU.S. Representatives Shri Thanedar (Mich.-13), Lou Correa (Calif.-46), and Bennie Thompson (Miss.-2) recently toured Detroit ATCT (DET) and Detroit TRACON (D21) with NATCA members Ken Bazman (D21) and Matt Reavis (D21) in July 2026. The… -
SF: Pelosi Latest Member Of Congress To Receive Suspicious Letter At District OfficeHouse Speaker Emerita Nancy Pelosi, D-San Francisco, is the latest member of Congress to receive a suspicious letter at her district office after similar cases have been reported recently elsewhere involving a powdery substance sent to… -
Members of Congress talk flying, lawmaking at NBAA conventionReps. Sam Graves (R-Mo.) and Jay Obernolte (R-Calif.) talked during the National Business Aviation Association's annual convention in Las Vegas about how being active general aviation pilots influences their work in Congress. During the… -
2 Chicago area members of Congress again received 'suspicious' packagesU.S. Rep. Jan Schakowsky is among several members of Congress who have received suspicious letters ahead of the midterm elections. U.S. Reps. Jan Schakowsky and Mike Quigley on Wednesday said their offices have both independently received… -
Arkansas has never elected a Black member of Congress. Chris Jones could change thatThe physicist, nonprofit executive and former gubernatorial nominee is running a competitive campaign against Republican Rep. French Hill. As Election Day nears, Black history is within reach in a very competitive U.S. House race in… -
174 Members of Congress Demand DOJ Reinstate Handgun Sales Ban for Adults Under 21A coalition of 174 members of Congress is demanding that the Department of Justice continue enforcing a federal restriction on handgun sales to law-abiding adults ages 18 to 20, despite a new DOJ legal opinion finding the restriction… -
Weeks before election, suspicious packages received by Members of CongressFederal authorities are investigating more than 100 suspicious letters sent nationwide to members of Congress and state election offices. Many of the envelopes—processed through a North Texas mail processing center and marked “Thinking of…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions