Collin County Judge winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $36 today · $1.3K traded · $1.1K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

83%Chris Hill

Chris Hill83%▼ 2
John Brown17%▲ 2

How the odds have moved

Chris Hill: 84% on Oct 19, 83% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Chris Hill	83%	▼ 2	81¢	85¢	$1.18	1.3K
John Brown	17%	▲ 2	14¢	20¢	$5.00	1.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Collin County Judge, Chris Hill, John Brown

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Today in History: October 25, abolitionist John Brown goes on trial for Harpers Ferry raidNew York Daily News · 32 h agoToday is Sunday, Oct. 25, the 298th day of 2026. There are 67 days left in the year. On Oct. 25, 1859, radical abolitionist John Brown went on trial in Charles Town, Virginia, for his failed raid at Harpers Ferry. (He was convicted and…
Could disillusioned Kansas voters send their first Democrat to the US Senate in 94 years?Central Oregon Daily · 6 days agoUS President Donald Trump looks on as Republican US Senate reelection candidate Roger Marshall (R-KS) speaks during a rally in Park City, Kansas, US, October 19, 2026. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Adam Hamilton…
Post-Prairieland: How Dallas activism has changed since the detention center shootingDallas Observer · 7 days agoCheck out the Dallas Observer’s Best of Dallas 2026 Many Dallas activists still stand with the group of protesters sentenced to a collective 556 years in prison for their participation in a protest-turned-shooting at the Prairieland…
Today in Historynrtoday.com · 10 days agoToday is the 289th day of 2026 and the 25th day of autumn. TODAY'S HISTORY: In 1859, abolitionist John Brown led a raid on Harpers Ferry, Virginia. In 1923, brothers Walt and Roy Disney founded Disney Brothers Cartoon Studio (now known as…
October 16, Cuban missile crisis beginsSent-trib · 10 days agoToday is Friday, Oct. 16, the 289th day of 2026. There are 76 days left in the year. In 1758, American lexicographer Noah Webster was born in Hartford, Connecticut. In 1793, Marie Antoinette, the queen of France, was beheaded during the…
On This Day: Racer Dan Wheldon dies in Vegas speedway crashUPI · 11 days agoOct. 16 (UPI) -- On this date in history: In 1793, following her conviction for treason, French Queen Marie Antoinette, wife of Louis XVI, was beheaded on the Place de la Revolution. In 1859, abolitionist John Brown led a raid on the…
Today in History: October 16, Cuban missile crisis beginsYuma Sun · 11 days agoEnter promo code for special subscription rate offer. You can access your news from your desktop computer, laptop, mobile device or tablet. You can also go to the app store to download a user friendly 'Yuma Sun' app. Today is Friday, Oct…
Today in History: October 16, Olympians give ‘Black power’ salute during medal ceremonyThe Mercury News · 11 days agoToday is Friday, Oct. 16, the 289th day of 2026. There are 76 days left in the year. On Oct. 16, 1968, American athletes Tommie Smith and John Carlos sparked controversy at the Mexico City Olympics by giving “Black power” salutes during a…
This Week in West Virginia Historywetzelchronicle.com · 12 days agoThe following events happened on these dates in West Virginia history Oct. 14, 1943: The army began transforming parts of Dolly Sods into an artillery range to train military troops bound for duty during World War II. The operation ended…
Why Is Right-Wing Dark Money Funding an Ohio Socialist for US Senate?Common Dreams · 13 days agoOhio US Senate candidate Greg Levy stands outside the abolitionist John Brown's house in Akron, Ohio on May 9, 2026. "After years of using socialism to frighten voters away from Democrats, political interests with apparent Republican…
Trump’s response to being quizzed on his disputed claim that Russia and Ukraine agreed to an energy ceasefire came straight from the Bumper Book of Arguing for Eight-Year-OldsThe Poke · 14 days agoUS donald trump Russian invasion of ukraine Oonagh Keating. Updated October 13th, 2026 In The President is a Petulant Eight-Year-Old, episode 3,489, Donald Trump has come up with a brand new response to being called out on obvious lies…
North Texas Growth Frames Keith Self-Evan Hunt Texas RaceHoodline · 14 days agoThe contrast starts with biography. According to the Herald-Banner, Self served as Collin County judge from 2007 to 2018 and holds degrees from the U.S. Military Academy and the University of Southern California. Hunt is the Democratic…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onCollin County Elections Department

Trading closesNov 3, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$1.3K (2,834 contracts)

Today$36

This week$653

At stake$1.1K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Chris Hill wins the 2026 Collin County Judge general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions