Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%
- Ken Paxton36%
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Closer Senate Race: Maine or Texas? (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
53%Maine US Senate
- Maine US Senate53%▼ 1
- Texas US Senate47%
How the odds have moved
Maine US Senate: 57% on Oct 19, 53% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maine US Senate | 53% | ▼ 1 | 49¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | 171 |
| Texas US Senate | 47% | 43¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 205 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Closer Senate, Maine, Texas
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Anger over rising prices could be decisive in Alaska’s unusually close Senate raceVoters in Alaska told NBC News that the skyrocketing cost of living is the main issue driving anger at Trump and GOP Sen. Dan Sullivan, who faces a tight re-election race. ANCHORAGE, Alaska — As voters in the Last Frontier prepare to… -
Hispanic voters helped bring Trump to power - in Texas, the tide may be turningFather Roy Snipes is known locally as the Cowboy Priest - he resisted plans to seize chapel land to build Trump's border wall It was just before dawn in the Rio Grande Valley in Texas, and the congregation were arriving for the Friday… -
DAVID MARCUS: The future of the GOP in New England rides on Maine’s Senate voteSen. Susan Collins faces a challenge from Democrat Troy Jackson in Maine as Republicans debate the future of centrism and the GOP's place in New England. The New England region of the United States comprises six states, more than 15… -
Maine Republicans face a defining test as Susan Collins fights to keep her Senate seatSen. Susan Collins faces a challenge from Democrat Troy Jackson in Maine as Republicans debate the future of centrism and the GOP's place in New England. Maine Republicans face a defining test as Susan Collins fights to keep her Senate… -
Crossroads of Texas GO TEXAN Country Festival draws crowdsCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Crossroads of Texas GO… -
Texas early voting data trends, what analysts are focusing on in the Texas Senate raceCBS News Sunday Morning CBS News Bay Area Evening Edition 11pm WBZ This Morning 8am CBS News Chicago Sunday7am CBS Colorado Mornings Weekend CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 11pm WCCO News Sunday Morning 7am CBS News New York Sunday 8am KDKA… - At Clemson, Trump stumps for Darline Graham amid rowdy protests, dissatisfaction with close Senate racePresident Donald Trump at Clemson speech / The College Fix CLEMSON, S.C. — President Donald Trump gave a stump speech for Republican Darline Graham near Clemson University on Wednesday night to help the sister of the late Sen. Lindsey…
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Susan Collins won women in 2020. How they break in 2026 could decide the Maine Senate race.The Republican senator narrowly won among women in 2020 even as they voted against Trump. This year, many are considering supporting Democrat Troy Jackson. LEWISTON, Maine — Tammy Green isn’t sure whom she’ll be supporting in Maine’s hotly… -
Crossroads of Texas Go Texan Country Festival gets underway in WaxahachieCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Crossroads of Texas Go… -
In close Senate race, outside groups have spent more against Hyde-Smith than those supporting herSeven committees have reported independent spending in Mississippi’s U.S. Senate race. Five of them are spending against incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith. Federal Election Commission’s records show 47 independent expenditures nming Hyde-Smith… -
Baseball bat vendor discusses the draw at the Crossroads of Texas Go Texan Country FestivalCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Baseball bat vendor… -
Susan Collins Touts Canada Tariff Exemptions in Tight Maine Senate RaceOct 23, 2026 at 03:21 PM EDT Republican Senator Susan Collins announced Friday that U.S. tariffs will exempt nine categories of Canadian imports used by Maine agricultural businesses after she pressed the Trump administration for relief…
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All senate ›Texas Senate Election Winner
65%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)65%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton (R)36%▼ 1
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
64%Democratic Party
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South Carolina Senate winner? (2026)
77%Darline Graham
- Darline Graham77%▼ 3
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2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
63%Democrats sweep
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- R-House, D-Senate1%
Michigan Senate winner? (2026)
66%Abdul El-Sayed
- Abdul El-Sayed66%▼ 3
- Mike Rogers35%▲ 2
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions