Maine Senate Race 2026

Election day: November 3, 2026. The markets' leading names: Troy Jackson, Susan Collins.

Prediction markets

  • Maine Senate winner? (In 2026)Kalshi
    • Troy Jackson58%▲1
    • Susan Collins43%▲1
    8.6M contracts traded · closes Nov 3, 2027 · updated 1h ago
  • Maine Senate Election WinnerPolymarket
    • Troy Jackson (D)60%▲1
    • Susan Collins (R)42%
    $2.2M traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 1m ago
  • Maine Governor-Senate combo (Before Nov 2026)Kalshi
    • Hannah Pingree and Troy Jackson win56%▲1
    • Hannah Pingree and Susan Collins win39%▼4
    • Robert Charles and Susan Collins win3%▼5
    • Robert Charles and Troy Jackson win<1%▼3
    43K contracts traded · closes Nov 3, 2027 · updated 2h ago
  • Maine Senate and Governor ComboPolymarket
    • Dems sweep55%
    • Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate42%▲1
    • Reps sweep2%▼3
    • Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate<1%
    $21K traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 1h ago
  • Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)Polymarket
    • Jackson 3-6%34%▼12
    • Jackson 0-3%17%▲2
    • Jackson 6-9%14%▼1
    • Collins 0-3%12%
    • Jackson 9-12%5%▼13
    • Collins 3-6%5%▼1
    • + 2 more outcomes
    $19K traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 1m ago
  • Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)Polymarket
    • 700K-750K35%▲4
    • 750K-800K26%▼1
    • 650K-700K18%
    • 800K-850K14%▲1
    • 850K-900K4%
    • <600K3%▼2
    • + 1 more outcome
    $13K traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 27m ago
  • Closer Senate Race: Maine or Texas?Polymarket
    • Maine71%▲5
    • Texas30%
    $523 traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 27m ago

Prediction-market prices show what traders are paying for each outcome, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong. Not betting or investment advice.

In the news

No coverage of this race in the index in the last two weeks.

Congressional and federal records come from official public sources: the House Clerk, the U.S. Senate, GovInfo and the Library of Congress (bill status), the Federal Register, and the congress-legislators project. They are copied on a schedule and may lag the official record by a few hours; the official sources govern. News and coverage counts are drawn from the 4Conservative index and reflect what the press published, not 4Conservative's views. Nothing here is an endorsement of any candidate, party or position. Terms of use.