Top Chinese AI company this month (Oct 31, 2026)
67%Xiaomi
- Xiaomi67%▲ 8
- Moonshot18%▼ 7
- Alibaba6%▼ 1
6 more
- Tencent2%
- Baidu1%
- DeepSeek1%
- ByteDance1%
- MiniMax1%
- Z.ai1%
Install
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th (Oct 26, 2026)
Settled XiaomiA day before, traders gave it 74%.
The last odds before it closed
74%Xiaomi
- ✓ Xiaomi74%
- Moonshot3%
- Alibaba3%▼ 30
- MiniMax2%
- Baidu1%
- DeepSeek1%
- Z.ai1%
- ByteDance1%
- Tencent1%
- Meituan1%
How the odds have moved
Xiaomi: 81% on Oct 20, 74% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Xiaomi | 74% | 1.6K | ||||
| ✗ Moonshot | 3% | 1.1K | ||||
| ✗ Alibaba | 3% | 1.1K | ||||
| ✗ MiniMax | 2% | 1.7K | ||||
| ✗ Baidu | 1% | 13.1K | ||||
| ✗ DeepSeek | 1% | 973 | ||||
| ✗ Z.ai | 1% | 1.5K | ||||
| ✗ ByteDance | 1% | 5.8K | ||||
| ✗ Tencent | 1% | 5.1K | ||||
| ✗ Meituan | 1% | 16.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Chinese AI Company
Search ›-
Chinese AI Company Deliberately Limits Its Capabilities1) Pre-deployment validation: run independent adversarial evaluations tailored to your codebase and threat model to detect residual exploit generation or leakage. 3) Access governance: restrict models with powerful long-context windows to… -
EUNOMIA 7-26 Naval Exercise in the Eastern Mediterranean: Greece, RoC, France & ItalyPhase 1 — Detection and identification: coordinated patrols and electronic surveillance established contacts and exchanged real-time tracks via tactical data links. Phase 2 — Interdiction and VBSS: Visit, Board, Search and Seizure (VBSS)… -
Chinese AI model Kimi K3.1 Pro is closing in on Anthropic's Claude Opus 5.5Moonshot AI's new reasoning model Kimi K3.1 Pro lands at number four on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index, just 3 points behind the top proprietary models. Chinese AI company Moonshot AI has released Kimi K3.1 Pro, a post-trained… -
ByteDance Pushes Back on Claim That 55% of China's AI Tokens Go to Short-Form Dramas, Says Video Generation Is Just 10% of ComputeA dispute over the claim that "more than half of all AI token usage goes into short-form drama production" is playing out across China's artificial intelligence industry. The debate is widening on two fronts: criticism that the sample… -
US Imposes Sanctions on Chinese AI Company Supported by Ex-Microsoft Official Due to Google Trade Secrets ControversyHome » News » Technology » US Imposes Sanctions on Chinese AI Company Supported by Ex-Microsoft Official Due to Google Trade Secrets Controversy Shanghai Zhisuan Technology, established in 2023, specializes in creating software frameworks… -
DeepSeek Nears $15 Billion Fundraise to Fuel AI RaceChinese artificial intelligence startup DeepSeek is nearing the completion of a fundraising round worth approximately 100 billion yuan ($14.98 billion), according to two people familiar with the matter cited by Reuters. The funding round… -
AI Could Push High-Risk ER Patients Down the Queue, Study WarnsOct 21, 2026 at 11:43 AM EDT Artificial intelligence systems designed to help Emergency Departments (ER) decide which patients should receive care first may be influenced by the information in a patient’s medical records, potentially… -
US bans DeepSeek AI tools from federal civilian agenciesDigital Watch Observatory US bans DeepSeek AI tools from federal civilian agencies US DHS issued the order to federal civilian agencies not to use products developed by Chinese AI company DeepSeek from their IT systems. The US Department… -
Bots behaving badly, the latest on AI regulation and investigating Kevin’s sloppelgangerOn the first episode of Machine Gods, Kevin Roose and Casey Newton ask: How worried should we be about rogue AI agents? After OpenAI’s Hugging Face breach, we discuss the first sighting of a rogue AI agent fleet linked to a Chinese AI… -
DeepSeek unveils open-source tool to help cut AI operating costsDeepSeek is opening up the software it uses to run its artificial intelligence (AI) models at scale, potentially making its technology cheaper and easier for businesses to run. The service, called DeepInfer, is software DeepSeek uses to… -
China firmly opposes U.S. sanctions on Chinese AI companies: commerce ministryChina's Ministry of Commerce on Tuesday voiced strong dissatisfaction and resolute opposition to the latest U.S. move, which ordered its federal civilian agencies to stop using artificial intelligence (AI) products and services from… - Why I’m becoming a professor in AI safety in Beijing — LessWrongCross-posted from Sören Mindermann's substack (I am not Sören). Should be of general interest to the LW community. Next month, I am moving to Beijing and joining Tsinghua University’s College of AI as an assistant professor working on…
Related markets
All ai ›Top Chinese AI Company week of October 26th (Nov 2, 2026)
74%Xiaomi
- Xiaomi74%▲ 17
- Moonshot18%
- Alibaba5%▼ 4
7 more
- Z.ai3%
- MiniMax3%
- DeepSeek2%
- Tencent2%
- Meituan2%
- Baidu1%
- ByteDance<1%
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
86%Google
- Google86%▼ 4
- Anthropic8%▲ 1
- OpenAI1%
18 more
- Meta<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
53%Anthropic
- Anthropic53%▲ 3
- Google36%▼ 3
- OpenAI6%
12 more
- Meta2%
- xAI1%▼ 1
- Alibaba1%
- Moonshot1%
- Z.ai<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Baidu<1%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
71%No release by October 31
- No release by October 3171%▲ 1
- October 2714%▼ 4
- October 284%▲ 1
11 more
- October 294%▼ 1
- October 264%
- October 302%▲ 1
- October 201%▼ 12
- October 31<1%▼ 1
- October 19<1%▼ 2
- October 21<1%▼ 5
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 23<1%▼ 4
- October 24<1%
- October 25<1%▼ 1
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
Nov 21, 2026even chance by
- October 21<1%▼ 12
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 24<1%▼ 1
2 more
- October 3128%▼ 3
- December 3193%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions