Swiss National Bank rate decision in December (Dec 10, 2026 meeting)

Kalshi Economy › Central banks Closes Dec 10 · $8 today · $7.7K traded · $3.6K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

81%Maintain current rate
  • Maintain current rate81%
  • Hike 1-25bps13%
  • Hike more than 25bps3%
  • Cut more than 25bps1%
  • Cut 1-25bps1%

How the odds have moved

Maintain current rate: 81% on Oct 20, 81% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Maintain current rate 81% 79¢ 82¢ $1.22 7.5K
Hike 1-25bps 13% 10¢ 16¢ $6.25 11.8K
Hike more than 25bps 3% 6¢ $16.67 2.7K
Cut more than 25bps 1% 2¢ $50.00 3.7K
Cut 1-25bps 1% 2¢ $50.00 6.0K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Swiss National Bank

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  • Swiss National Bank Announces Executive Changes to the Bank CouncilMarketScreener · 3 days agoSwiss National Bank, at its meeting of September 2, 2026, appointed Christoph Ammann as President of the Bank Council. He will succeed Barbara Janom Steiner with effect from May 1, 2027, and will... Swiss National Bank, at its meeting of…
  • Swiss government names new president for Swiss National Bank's bank councilMarketScreener · 3 days agoPublished on 09/02/2026 at 06:27 am EDT - Modified on 09/02/2026 at 06:31 am EDT ZURICH, Sept 2 (Reuters) - The Swiss government on Wednesday named Christoph Ammann as the new president of the Swiss National Bank's Bank Council, the body…
  • Wind has changed on interest rates, SNB's Schlegel saysMarketScreener · 3 days agoExpectations have shifted towards interest rate hikes as higher energy prices have driven up inflation, Swiss National Bank Chairman Martin Schlegel said on Friday. The wind has changed... Wind has changed on interest rates, SNB's Schlegel…
  • Swiss Foreign Currency Reserves Increase in AugustMarketScreener · 3 days agoSwitzerland's foreign currency reserves rose to 770.07 billion francs in August from the revised 768.14 billion francs in July, data from the Swiss National Bank showed Monday. Official reserve... Swiss Foreign Currency Reserves Increase…
  • Swiss Foreign Currency Reserves Increase in JulyMarketScreener · 3 days agoSwitzerland's foreign currency reserves rose to 768.26 billion francs in July from the revised 758.85 billion francs previously, data from the Swiss National Bank showed Friday. Official reserve... Swiss Foreign Currency Reserves Increase…
  • SNB's Schlegel says franc exchange rate a challenge for economyMarketScreener · 3 days agoThe Swiss franc's exchange rate is a challenge for the Swiss economy, but in real terms, the currency has been broadly stable since 2020, Swiss National Bank Chairman Martin Schlegel said on Friday. ... SNB's Schlegel says franc exchange…
  • Swiss central bank sees less need to intervene in forex markets, SNB minutes sayMarketScreener · 3 days agoThe Swiss National Bank on Thursday signalled it saw less need to intervene in foreign exchange markets to curb the rise of the Swiss franc, according to the minutes of the central bank's latest rate... Swiss central bank sees less need to…
  • Leverage and Margin Trading: The Complete GuideInvestingCube · 2 days agoIf you are brand new, start with our beginner’s guide to trading, which also warns about the mistakes that excess leverage causes. Think of it like a mortgage. You put down a small deposit, the lender covers the rest, and a small price…
  • Swiss bankers expect SNB to keep rates on hold in 2026 and 2027MarketScreener · 3 days agoPublished on 08/31/2026 at 03:36 am EDT - Modified on 08/31/2026 at 03:37 am EDT ZURICH, Aug 31 (Reuters) - Swiss bankers expect the Swiss National Bank to keep its key interest rate on hold at 0% this year and into 2027, according to a…
  • Swiss franc is once again becoming a safe-haven currencySWI swissinfo.ch · 3 days agoEarly on Thursday afternoon, the Swiss franc even fell below the 92-rappen mark against the euro once again. This took the franc to its highest level since early July. At the start of the month, a euro was still costing almost CHF0.95…
  • Why Forward Guidance Fails in an Era of ShocksThe Economy · 5 days agohttps://economy.ac/ - Why Forward Guidance Fails in an Era of Shocks On March 17, 2021, the median projection of members of the Federal Open Market Committee showed an interest rate close to zero through the end of 2023, with 2021…
  • Why Swiss Franc is to Stay Soft Against the PoundPound Sterling Live | News · 5 days agoImage © Pound Sterling Live The Swiss franc is set to stay soft against the pound, weighed by a 0% interest rate at the Swiss National Bank (SNB) and a safe-haven bid that has misfired during this month's market stress. The weakness is…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions