Bank of Brazil decision in November?
82%25 bps decrease
- 25 bps decrease82%▼ 1
- No Change17%▲ 1
- 50+ bps increase<1%
2 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%▼ 2
- 25 bps increase<1%
Install
South Africa rate decision in November (Nov 19, 2026 meeting)
The odds
38%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate38%▼ 5
- Hike 1-25bps35%▲ 34
- Cut 1-25bps21%▲ 24
- Hike more than 25bps6%▼ 1
- Cut more than 25bps2%▼ 3
How the odds have moved
Maintain current rate: 53% on Oct 19, 38% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | 38% | ▼ 5 | 38¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 117 |
| Hike 1-25bps | 35% | ▲ 34 | 24¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 7.6K |
| Cut 1-25bps | 21% | ▲ 24 | 21¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 50.5K |
| Hike more than 25bps | 6% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 954 |
| Cut more than 25bps | 2% | ▼ 3 | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 267 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: South Africa
Search ›-
Wall on South Africa, surfing and pink scrum capsDorothy Wall will start for Ireland in Saturday's historic WXV Test in South Africa When Dorothy Wall steps on to a rugby pitch, she stands out. Wall and her distinctive pink scrum cap will be in action on Saturday in Cape Town when… -
Six-try Ireland beat South Africa in Cape TownIreland captain Erin King scored a second-half try having been yellow carded earlier in the game South Africa (17) 27 Tries: Hele, Ubisi, Tshiremba, Makua, Arries Con: Cilliers Tries: Dalton, Djougang 2, Clohessy, Parsons, King Cons… -
Winds of change are coming for Australia as selection storm brews in South AfricaCrushing defeat in second Test raises fresh questions about visitors’ fragile batting lineup before Cape Town decider ... Winds of change are coming for Australia as selection storm brews in South Africa Crushing defeat in second Test… -
WXV Global Series - Six-try Ireland beat South Africa in Cape TownWXV Global Series, Athlone Stadium, Cape Town South Africa 27-40 Ireland (FT) Aoife Dalton, Linda Djougang (2), Jane Clohessy, Beibhinn Parsons and Erin King cross for Irish; Aseza Hele, Vainah Ubisi, Maria Tshiremba, Lerato Makua and… -
Durban Killing: Why Is South Africa’s Anti-Migrant Anger Growing?Oct 23, 2026 at 02:29 PM EDT A foreign national was beaten to death by a crowd of around 50 people in South Africa, amid months of tensions over immigration across the country. The man, believed to be in his late 30s or early 40s, was… -
South Africa aims to lock in gains with proposed fiscal lawEconomists say the numbers are good enough to warrant a credit rating upgrade. Gina Schoeman of Citi says the US bank sees a shift as “probable” but more likely to come in the first six months of next year rather than in the next few… -
India's WTC Final chances: What South Africa's win over Australia meansSouth Africa’s innings win over Australia has tightened the World Test Championship final race. Australia remain top, while India sit fifth with seven Tests left against New Zealand and Australia. India need 62 points to reach a 60 PCT and… -
Heroic South African dad kills armed carjacker in gunfight with gang as he shields daughter from bulletsHe’s a real life Superman. A heroic South African dad fatally shot an armed carjacker while trying to protect his daughter after the gang ambushed the pair outside their home, dramatic video shows. Sidney Hill calmly whipped out his gun… -
‘Apart,’ Set in Cyprus and Apartheid South Africa, “Challenges the Idea of ‘Us’ and ‘Them'” (Exclusive Tallinn Trailer)Writer-director Stelana Kliris’ feature, starring Leem Lubany and Luca Pasqualino and inspired by the experiences of her refugee parents, will open PÖFF’s Critics’ Picks section. The movie, world-premiering at the 30th edition of the… -
South Africa complete famous win over AustraliaAustralia won the first Test by 214 runs Second Test, Gqeberha (day five of five) South Africa 425-9 dec: Bavuma 179, Jansen 85; Boland 5-81 Australia 99 & 295: Head 121; Rabada 4-77, Mulder 3-64 South Africa won by an innings and 31 runs… -
Crowd of 50 beats foreigner to death in South AfricaA foreign national has been beaten to death by a crowd of about 50 people in Durban, South Africa, police say. According to police, the unidentified man, believed to be in his late 30s or early 40s, was first approached by two men by the… -
South Africa beat Boland and weather to force series decider against AustraliaScott Boland batted for more than three hours as nightwatcher but Kagiso Rabada and Wiaan Mulder led the hosts to victory in Gqeberha ... South Africa beat Boland and weather to force series decider against Australia Rabada and Mulder lead…
Related markets
All central banks ›Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
80%Hike 25bps
- Hike 25bps80%▼ 1
- Maintains rate18%▼ 1
- Hike >25bps1%▲ 1
2 more
- Cut >25bps1%
- Cut 25bps1%
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December
66%No change
- No change66%▲ 5
- 25 bps increase26%▼ 10
- 50+ bps increase4%▲ 2
2 more
- 25 bps decrease3%▲ 1
- 50+ bps decrease1%▲ 1
Bank of Israel rate decision in November (Nov 23, 2026 meeting)
64%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate64%▲ 9
- Cut 1-25bps38%▼ 1
- Hike 1-25bps1%
2 more
- Cut more than 25bps1%▼ 1
- Hike more than 25bps<1%▼ 1
Bank of Russia decision in December?
72%No change
- No change72%▲ 7
- 25 bps decrease19%▼ 4
- 50+ bps decrease4%▼ 2
2 more
- 25 bps increase4%▼ 1
- 50+ bps increase2%▼ 1
Bank of Japan rate decision in October (Oct 29, 2026 meeting)
96%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate96%
- Hike 25bps3%
- Cut more than 25bps1%
2 more
- Cut 25bps1%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions