Chile rate decision in October (Oct 27, 2026 meeting)

Kalshi Economy › Central banks Closes Tue 4:59 PM ET · $2 today · $8.9K traded · $5.8K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

97%Maintain current rate

Maintain current rate97%
Cut 1-25bps3%▲ 1
Cut more than 25bps2%▼ 1
Hike 1-25bps2%
Hike more than 25bps2%

How the odds have moved

Maintain current rate: 96% on Oct 20, 97% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Maintain current rate	97%		97¢	98¢	$1.02	8.6K
Cut 1-25bps	3%	▲ 1		6¢	$16.67	1.3K
Cut more than 25bps	2%	▼ 1		4¢	$25.00	1.8K
Hike 1-25bps	2%			4¢	$25.00	13.1K
Hike more than 25bps	2%			4¢	$25.00	8.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Chile

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Aidan Chiles throws for 3 TD, runs in 2 more, and No. 24 Northwestern beats Rutgers 42-14CBS News · 11 h agoOctober 24, 2026 / 3:28 PM CDT / AP Aidan Chiles threw for three touchdowns for the third time this season and rushed for two others to lead No. 24 Northwestern past Rutgers 42-14 on Saturday for a fourth straight victory. Caleb Komolafe…
Chile Stocks Slip 0.31% as Peso Weakens | Chile Market Report, Oct 23The Rio Times · 26 h agoChilean stocks closed lower on Friday, 23 October, and the peso weakened to its weakest close since at least 1 October. The S&P IPSA, which tracks Santiago’s biggest listed companies, fell 0.31%, according to the Santiago exchange data…
Santiago Marathon in Chile on 16 May 2027The Rio Times · 13 h agoSantiago’s marathon runs on Sunday, 16 May 2027. Entry opened on Thursday, 15 October 2026. The Itaú Santiago Marathon runs on Sunday, 16 May 2027, from the Palacio de La Moneda in central Santiago, Chile. Entry is open for a marathon, a…
Lithium Chile (OTCMKTS:LTMCF) Stock Price Up 15.2% – Should You Buy?Markets Daily · 13 h agoPosted by Mitch Edgeman on Oct 24th, 2026 Shares of Lithium Chile Inc. (OTCMKTS:LTMCF – Get Free Report) were up 15.2% on Thursday. The stock traded as high as $0.2073 and last traded at $0.2073. 1,822 shares were traded during mid-day…
Falabella Rewards Plan Has 12M Chile ClientsThe Rio Times · 22 h agoThe Falabella rewards plan, renamed Fpuntos on 14 September 2026, now serves 12 million clients in Chile, the company says. Each point is worth CLP 1 (about US$0.001) when spent, and card holders earn points faster than under the old CMR…
Ironman 70.3 Pucón in Chile on 10 January 2027The Rio Times · 12 h agoCHILE · PUCÓN TRIATHLON The Itaú IRONMAN 70.3 Pucón triathlon is on Sunday, 10 January 2027, in a lake town in southern Chile. Registration is open, and visitors should check the volcano alert before they book. The Itaú IRONMAN 70.3 Pucón…
Chile’s Right Turn and Brazil’s Next Choice: Chilean Lawmaker Weighs InNTD · 29 h agoBenjamín Lorca, a Chilean member of parliament, joins Tiffany Meier Tonight to discuss Chile’s conservative shift, the challenges facing the country’s new government, and the factors driving a broader political realignment across Latin…
Why Chile Cut Child Sex Crime SentencesThe Rio Times · 23 h agoChile has paused sentence cuts for people convicted of sex crimes against children. This guide explains the legal rule behind the dispute. The row over sex crime sentences in Chile turns on one question, whether a harsher 2022 law reaches…
College football highlights: Aidan Chiles torches Rutgers with five TDs - NBC SportsNBC Sports · 12 h agoAidan Chiles brought his best to Ryan Field on Saturday afternoon, where he recorded five total touchdowns to lead Northwestern to a lopsided win over Rutgers. Highlights: Chiles torches Rutgers with five TDs
Aidan Chiles finds Griffin Wilde for early score against Rutgers - NBC SportsNBC Sports · 15 h agoGriffin Wilde reels in a dart from Aidan Chiles to put Northwestern up over Rutgers early on Saturday afternoon. Chiles finds Wilde for early score against Rutgers
Northwestern's Aidan Chiles records rushing TD in seventh straight game - NBC SportsNBC Sports · 15 h agoAidan Chiles continues Northwestern's early offensive barrage against Rutgers, collecting another rushing touchdown in his seventh straight game. Chiles records rushing TD in seventh straight game
Chile passes law establishing annual day of friendship and solidarity with PalestineMiddle East Monitor · 15 h agoOctober 24, 2026 at 5:24 pm Chile has formally established 7 January as the Day of Chilean-Palestinian Friendship and Solidarity. [Embassy of the State of Palestine in Chile / Instagram] Sixteen years after recognising the State of…

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Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?

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Bank of Japan rate decision in October (Oct 29, 2026 meeting)

96%Maintain current rate

Maintain current rate96%
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Bank of Russia decision in December?

68%No change

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South Africa rate decision in November (Nov 19, 2026 meeting)

40%Maintain current rate

Maintain current rate40%▼ 11
Hike 1-25bps21%▲ 14
Hike more than 25bps7%▼ 1

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onCentral Bank of Chile, Trading Economics

Trading closesOct 27, 2026 4:59 PM ET

Traded$8.9K (33,102 contracts)

Today$2

This week$1.2K

At stake$5.8K

In the news35 headlines today, 279 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the Central Bank of Chile takes the action of cut more than 25bps at its October Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.