NYC median asking rent in December 2026
$3,991median
$3,700$4,600
Median $3,991Middle half $3,930 – $4,093
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California permitted housing units in 2026
The odds
111,250median
95,000130,000
Median 111,250Middle half 107,583 – 114,226
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 100,000 | 97% | 96¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 8.6K | |
| Above 105,000 | 91% | 90¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 6.0K | |
| Above 110,000 | 61% | 60¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | 6.6K | |
| Above 115,000 | 19% | 18¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 19.7K | |
| Above 120,000 | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 11.7K | |
| Above 125,000 | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 19.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: California
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All housing ›Colorado permitted housing units in 2026
31,512median
28,00040,000
Median 31,512
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
1,824median
1,5002,700
Median 1,824Middle half 1,702 – 2,068
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
67%↑ 7.50%
- Reaches 7.5%67%
- Falls to 6.5%16%
- Falls to 6.25%13%
Already reached: ↑ 7.25%, ↑ 7.00%, ↑ 6.75%, ↑ 6.50%, ↑ 6.30%, ↑ 6.20%
Will Utah's House Price Index exceed 722.63 in Q4 2026?
51%chance
Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026
1,522median
8001,850
Median 1,522
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.