US mortgage applications change in the next MBA report (Oct 28, 2026)
9.04%median
-12%12%
Median 9.04%
Install
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
The odds
1,817median
1,5002,700
Median 1,817Middle half 1,702 – 2,068
How the odds have moved
Median: 1,824 on Oct 20, 1,817 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1,600 units | 86% | 85¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | 22.6K | |
| Above 1,700 units | 76% | 75¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | 19.9K | |
| Above 1,800 units | 52% | 51¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 20.0K | |
| Above 1,900 units | 43% | 42¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 25.2K | |
| Above 2,000 units | 33% | 32¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 16.7K | |
| Above 2,100 units | 22% | 21¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 16.5K | |
| Above 2,200 units | 13% | 12¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 5.5K | |
| Above 2,300 units | 10% | 9¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 14.1K | |
| Above 2,400 units | 7% | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 10.5K | |
| Above 2,500 units | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 3.4K | |
| Above 2,600 units | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 7.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Housing, Vermont
Search ›-
Extension of supported housing contracts proposedHousing support services for vulnerable and homeless people in Peterborough look set to continue after councillors were asked to extend the current contracts. The city council has three contracts with organisations that provide a total of… -
Budget to include £1bn for social and affordable housingChancellor John Healey will present his first Budget on Wednesday More than £1bn for social and affordable housing in England will be provided in the Wednesday's Budget, taking funding for the government's 10-year homes programme past… -
Chicago Housing Authority holds 19th annual "Operation Warm" eventOctober 24, 2026 / 7:04 PM CDT / CBS Chicago The Chicago Housing Authority held its annual "Operation Warm" event on Saturday to get people better ready for the winter season. This is the program's 19th year providing families and kids… -
Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg: Housing Secretary Angela Rayner being quizzedHousing Secretary Angela Rayner has been questioned on Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg - watch the show live at the top of the page Her appearance came ahead of Labour's first Budget under Prime Minister Andy Burnham, being delivered on… -
Over 20 vehicles damaged in fire at San Jose housing complexCBS News Bay Area is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KPIX-TV and channel 5, CBS News Bay Area offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Over 20 vehicles… -
Marin City families getting rent relief as their aging housing complex is renovatedCBS News Bay Area is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KPIX-TV and channel 5, CBS News Bay Area offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Marin City… -
Vermont downs Stonehill in exhibitionThe UVM men’s basketball team downed Stonehill 77-61 on Saturday for their second exhibition win. Gus Yalden led. Momo Nkugwa returned for Vermont after missing the initial exhibition game, and scored ... BURLINGTON, Vt. (WCAX) - The UVM… -
Southern Vermont and New HampshirePolice said firefighting efforts were hampered due to local conditions. Brazilians head to the polls on Sunday facing a stark choice: another four years under veteran leftist Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, or a return to the right under… -
Removal of Oakland downtown trees for housing complex to dislodge city's official birdCBS News Bay Area is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KPIX-TV and channel 5, CBS News Bay Area offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Removal of Oakland… -
Trump signs housing affordability executive orderThe order aims to reduce mortgage costs as interest rates soar before the midterms. President Donald Trump signed an executive order Thursday aimed at reducing some costs associated with mortgages and boosting manufactured housing… -
Overnight fire at San Jose housing complex damages more than 20 vehicles, carportOctober 23, 2026 / 2:45 PM PDT / CBS San Francisco Nearly two dozen vehicles were damaged and a carport was destroyed following a fire at a San Jose housing complex early Friday morning. Shortly after 2 a.m., firefighters were called to… - Oakland's official bird among those threatened with removal of downtown trees for housing complexOctober 23, 2026 / 4:08 PM PDT / CBS San Francisco In downtown Oakland at the corner of 12th and Harrison streets, four large Indian laurel ficus trees surround a vacant lot. High in the canopies every spring and summer during breeding…
Related markets
All housing ›Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
65%↑ 7.50%
- Reaches 7.5%65%
- Falls to 6.5%33%
- Falls to 6.25%30%
Already reached: ↑ 7.25%, ↑ 7.00%, ↑ 6.75%, ↑ 6.50%, ↑ 6.30%, ↑ 6.20%
US building permits for October (October 2026)
1.38median
1.201.65
Median 1.38Middle half 1.33 – 1.43
Will Illinois home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?
90%chance
California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
705,678median
670,000750,000
Median 705,678Middle half 701,441 – 709,915
US housing starts for October (October 2026)
1.25median
11.45
Median 1.25Middle half 1.18 – 1.30
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.