US mortgage applications change in the next MBA report (Oct 28, 2026)
6%median
-12%12%
Median 6%
Install
Will Illinois home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?
The odds
90%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 90% on Oct 20, 90% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 90% | 89¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 14.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Illinois
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Oregon Fires OC After Illinois DisasterOregon Ducks head coach Dan Lanning was brutally honest about what he needed to do for the rest of the weekend after his team put up 10 points in a loss to the Illinois Illini on the road on Saturday. Lanning didn't shy away from the idea… -
FanDuel: Illinois opens as favorite over MarylandIllinois football is a 3.5-point favorite against Maryland ahead of its Halloween matchup in College Park, according to FanDuel. The Illini are -152 on the moneyline, while Maryland is +126. The over/under is set at 52.5 points, so they're… -
Illinois' Bret Bielema Describes "Personal" Motivation for Beating OregonThe Illinois Fighting Illini scored one of the most satisfying wins of the Bret Bielema era in Week 8 college football action, winning 21-10 after trailing by three points at halftime. The Illini came out firing with seven points in the… -
Illinois Basketball 2026-27 Scouting Report: Landon DavisIn the days leading up to Illinois' Nov. 2 regular-season opener at Champaign's State Farm Center, Illinois on SI will share a scouting report for each Illini player on the team's official 2026-27 roster. Today, we shine a light on forward… -
Fire leaves home charred in Vernon Hills, IllinoisUpdated on: October 24, 2026 / 12:13 PM CDT / CBS Chicago A house was left destroyed after a fire in Vernon Hills, Illinois, on Friday night. The Countryside Fire Protection District said it started around 9 p.m. at the home in the 100… -
Illinois Football Upsets Oregon 21-10 in Season-Saving TriumphIt was an epic turnaround in every sense. Granted, this isn't your older brother's Oregon program. The Ducks (4-3, 2-2 Big Ten) are in the doldrums of an unexpected down year, and they haven't been quite the same since losing starting… -
Hawaii routs Northern Illinois 56-21 after record road tripThe Rainbow Warriors (2-6, 1-4 Mountain West) traveled 4,255 miles from Honolulu to Dekalb, marking the farthest any FBS team has ever traveled for a conference game within the United States. Hawaii previously made regular trips of 4,039… -
Illinois Coach Bret Bielema Explains Why Beating Oregon Was PersonalFor the Illinois Fighting Illini, the 21-10 victory at Gies Memorial Stadium over the Oregon Ducks is a long time coming. The two Big Ten teams last played each other in 2024 at Autzen Stadium, where Oregon won 38-9, and that margin of… -
3 Key Stats From Illinois Football's Upset Win Over OregonIllinois (4-3, 2-2 Big Ten) against Oregon (4-3, 2-2 Big Ten) on Saturday was everything we didn't think it could be. True freshman quarterback Michael Clayton II wasn't great (though he got the job done). The Illini rushing attack, on the… -
Fire in Deerfield, Illinois, apartment building sends 2 people to hospitalUpdated on: October 25, 2026 / 7:42 AM CDT / CBS Chicago Multiple people were injured Saturday night after a fire broke out in an apartment building in the north Chicago suburb of Deerfield. A total of 16 apartments were impacted by the… -
Oregon's Dan Lanning Calls Out Ducks After Unexpected Loss to IllinoisOregon Ducks head coach Dan Lanning delivered a pointed message to his players after Saturday's 21-10 loss to the Illinois Fighting Illini. Lanning challenged them to evaluate their effort and response as the Ducks fell to 4-3 and likely… -
Oregon Receivers Don’t Travel to Illinois in Ducks LossCHAMPAIGN – The Oregon Ducks’ first drive against the Illinois Fighting Illini seemed like they found the offensive spark they’ve been searching for en route to a quick 7-0 lead. But after that score at the 11:17 mark in the first quarter…
Related markets
All housing ›Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
60%↑ 7.50%
- Reaches 7.5%60%
- Falls to 6.5%24%
- Falls to 6.25%17%
Already reached: ↑ 7.25%, ↑ 7.00%, ↑ 6.75%, ↑ 6.50%, ↑ 6.30%, ↑ 6.20%
US new home sales for September (September 2026)
646,667median
580,000760,000
Median 646,667Middle half 624,906 – 678,750
California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
705,678median
670,000750,000
Median 705,678Middle half 701,441 – 709,915
US building permits for October (October 2026)
1.38median
1.201.65
Median 1.38Middle half 1.33 – 1.43
US new home · Median sales price in September (September 2026)
$395,200median
$360,000$425,000
Median $395,200Middle half $385,952 – $405,714
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions