Bitcoin above ___ on October 24?
$79,000median
$70,000$94,000
Median $79,000Middle half $78,499 – $79,501
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When will Bitcoin have its next halving?
The odds
May 6, 2028even chance by
Bitcoin now 80,395.35 −0.35% - Before Mar 20284%
- Before Apr 202844%
- Before May 202875%
- Before Jun 202894%
How the odds have moved
Before Mar 2028: 4% on Oct 20, 4% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Mar 2028 | 4% | 0¢ | 8¢ | $12.35 | 10.2K | |
| Before Apr 2028 | 44% | 40¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 4.8K | |
| Before May 2028 | 75% | 72¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | 6.1K | |
| Before Jun 2028 | 94% | 90¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 3.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Bitcoin
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Strategy (MSTR), Strive (ASST) must balance bitcoin (BTC) purchases, preferred stock dividendsBitcoin BTC$84,459.46 treasury companies like Strategy (MSTR) and Strive (ASST), whose purchases help maintain demand for the largest cryptocurrency, have a tough balancing act, according to Fidelity Digital Assets and analysts who spoke… -
Bitcoin price news: BTC falls below $80,000 on renewed Middle East worriesThe U.S. is quickly evacuating personnel from embassies and military bases throughout the Middle East as intelligence suggests Iran is prepping attacks against Americans, the WSJ reported Saturday morning. “Iran has substantially increased… -
Bitcoin ETFs Bleed $636 Million as October Turns Red AgainBitcoin ETFs’ October comeback lasted a single session. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs shed $635.6 million on Thursday, according to Decrypt’s ETF tracker, wiping out nearly 60% of the roughly $1.07 billion the funds took in over the previous… -
Bitcoin’s wealthy holders are moving from trading to private banking, Xapo CEO saysWealthy bitcoin BTC$84,459.46 holders are increasingly treating their cryptocurrency as an asset to borrow against and generate income from, marking a shift from speculation toward private banking, according to Xapo Bank CEO Seamus Rocca… -
Bitcoin Mining CalculatorEstimate Bitcoin mining profit per day, month and year from your hash rate, power use, electricity cost and pool fee. Uses live network data. 1 BTC = $81,570.67 The price is live from the CoinDesk index. Network figures come from the… -
Bitcoin in 'Wait and See Mode'—And That Might Be a Good ThingBitcoin hasn't budged more than 6% over the past month, per Decrypt data, and is currently sitting at around $81,735, down 1.2% on the day. One expert says the leading cryptocurrency is in "wait and see mode," and claims that might be a… -
Heatbit's $899 Water Heater Element Mines Bitcoin While It Heats Your TankHeatbit, which makes space heaters with built-in Bitcoin miners, has unveiled a water heater element that mines Bitcoin while it heats water, the company said in a tweet on Thursday. The element, called Bitwater, replaces the resistance… -
Bitcoin (BTC) price recovers to $81,700 as memecoins lead altcoin reboundBitcoin rose 0.5% to around $81,700 since midnight UTC while the CoinDesk 80 gained 1.4% and memecoins climbed 2.9%, with pepe up 13%. Bitcoin BTC$84,459.46 rose 0.5% to around $81,700 since midnight UTC, outpaced by altcoins. Ether… -
Bitcoin Core Rewrites Its Security Policy for a World Where AI Finds Bugs in One PromptBitcoin Core developers have changed how the software handles certain security flaws, acknowledging that AI has made some vulnerabilities so easy to find that keeping them secret no longer makes sense. The project merged the policy update… -
Live updates: Bitcoin holds above $81,000 as the AI rout fades and oil climbsBitcoin went quiet after a week of big swings, with tech futures steadying and Brent hitting its highest level since early May. The Fed meets next week. Bitcoin dipped to about $81,000 late Thursday and has since spent the day boxed in a… -
Bitcoin’s midterm bottom pattern faces a test as QQQ shows mixed returnsU.S. midterm elections are just 10 days away and bitcoin BTC$84,459.46 is approaching a period that has historically coincided with major bear-market bottoms, although this year’s recovery suggests the timing could differ. Bitcoin bottomed… -
Robinhood (HOOD) sees surge in Bitcoin (BTC), Gold prediction markets as traders move beyond sportsRobinhood is seeing growing demand for prediction markets tied to bitcoin, gold and oil, as traders increasingly look beyond sports and elections to bet on moves in financial markets. Price volatility contracts tied to those assets are…
Related markets
All bitcoin ›What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
$84,089high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $84,089 and as low as $77,864.
- Reaches $82,50091%
- Reaches $85,00027%
- Falls to $80,000>99%
- Falls to $77,50042%
Already reached: ↑ 85,000, ↓ 82,500, ↓ 80,000, ↓ 85,000, ↑ 85,000, ↓ 85,000
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 23?
<1%↑ 89,000
- Reaches $83,000<1%
- Reaches $84,000<1%
- Falls to $80,000<1%
- Falls to $79,000<1%
Already reached: ↑ 82,000, ↓ 81,000
What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?
$85,002high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $85,002 and as low as $78,933.
- Reaches $84,000100%
- Reaches $86,0001%
- Falls to $80,000>99%
- Falls to $78,0006%
Already reached: ↓ 82,000
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
49%↑ 90,000
- Reaches $90,00049%
- Reaches $95,00030%
- Falls to $70,00039%
- Falls to $65,00024%
Already reached: ↓ 60,000, ↑ 85,000, ↑ 80,000, ↑ 75,000, ↑ 70,000, ↑ 65,000
Bitcoin above ___ on October 25?
$80,754median
$70,000$94,000
Median $80,754Middle half $80,107 – $81,401
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.