PolymarketCrypto › BitcoinClosed, awaiting its resultClosed Mon 12:11 AM ET · $482K today · $482K traded · $276K at stake
The last odds before it closed
<1%↑ 89,000
Reaches $83,000<1%
Reaches $84,000<1%
Reaches $85,000<1%
Reaches $86,000<1%
Reaches $87,000<1%
Reaches $88,000<1%
Reaches $89,000<1%
Falls to $80,000<1%
Falls to $79,000<1%
Falls to $78,000<1%
Falls to $77,000<1%
Falls to $76,000<1%
Falls to $75,000<1%
Falls to $74,000<1%
Already reached: ↑ 82,000, ↓ 81,000
How the odds have moved
Reaches $86,000: <1% on Oct 24, <1% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
✓ ↑ 82,000
>99%
100¢
100¢
$12.4K
↑ 83,000
<1%
▼ 30
0¢
$46.5K
↑ 84,000
<1%
▼ 8
0¢
$28.3K
↑ 85,000
<1%
▼ 2
0¢
$23.5K
↑ 86,000
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$5.9K
↑ 87,000
<1%
0¢
$722
↑ 88,000
<1%
0¢
$512
↑ 89,000
<1%
0¢
$2.3K
↓ 74,000
<1%
0¢
$15
↓ 75,000
<1%
0¢
$5.5K
↓ 76,000
<1%
0¢
$10.9K
↓ 77,000
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$11.8K
↓ 78,000
<1%
▼ 2
0¢
$67.6K
↓ 79,000
<1%
▼ 5
0¢
$98.3K
↓ 80,000
<1%
▼ 17
0¢
$141K
✓ ↓ 81,000
>99%
100¢
100¢
$27.4K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Bitcoin Dips Below $80,000 Ahead of Fed Decision, MidtermsDecrypt · 24 h agoBitcoin slipped below $80,000 over the past 24 hours, as a sell-off in technology stocks and nervousness ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate decision weighed on risk assets. The leading cryptocurrency fell as low as $79,332 before…
Bitcoin Holds Near $80,000 as Strategy Pauses Bitcoin PurchasesGadgets 360 · 8 h agoRohan Pal is the Assistant Editor at Gadgets360. With over 8 years of experience in technology, he has worked with multiple organizations, specializing in smartphones, laptops, wearables, appliances, and more. His passion for technology…
Morning Minute: Bitcoin Breaks Below $80,000 as Iran Fears Hit the WeekendDecrypt · 24 h agoBTC currently sits at $80,160, down 2.4% on the week. Ethereum fell 3.8% to $2,322, Solana 3.2% to $101 and the broader CMC20 index is off 2.3%. Over 30 days, Bitcoin is down 4.8%. The majors around it average down 16.5%, more than three…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions