Brazil Presidential Election
63%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%▲ 47
- Flávio Bolsonaro36%▼ 48
Install
Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction winner? (2026)
The odds
52%Kimberly Yee
- Kimberly Yee52%▼ 1
- Teresa Leyba Ruiz46%▲ 3
- Stephen Neal Jr.1%
- Gerard Davis1%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Kimberly Yee: 52% on Oct 19, 52% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimberly Yee | 52% | ▼ 1 | 47¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 35.00 |
| Teresa Leyba Ruiz | 46% | ▲ 3 | 41¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 170 |
| Stephen Neal Jr. | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 4.4K | |
| Gerard Davis | 1% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | $50.00 | 4.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction, Kimberly Yee, Teresa Leyba Ruiz
Search ›-
School Choice Could Prove Pivotal in Some Midterm Races This FallEconomic issues are top of mind for many voters as they head to the polls for the midterm elections. But education—in particular, school choice—is also playing a role in some major contests. While private school choice, such as vouchers… -
Tucson Now: Dr. Stephen Neal Jr.'s plan for Arizona State Superintendent of Public InstructionKOLD Tucson Now: Dr. Stephen Neal Jr.'s plan for Arizona State Superintendent of Public Instruction Motorcyclist dies in crash near 36th, Campbell in Tucson Pima County Sheriff’s Department rounds up domestic violence suspects 13 Sports At… -
Hurricane Season for Arizona Republicans?State Treasurer Democratic candidate Nick Mansour now holds a 9.2-point advantage over Republican Elijah Norton (44.5% Mansour/35.3% Norton) in the race for Arizona State Treasurer. Mansour’s lead among unaffiliated voters has grown from… -
Skye Fernandez's plan for TUSD Governing BoardKOLD Skye Fernandez's plan for TUSD Governing Board Pima County Sheriff’s Department rounds up domestic violence suspects 13 Sports At The Half Tucson Now: Dr. Stephen Neal Jr.'s plan for Arizona State Superintendent of Public Instruction -
President Trump’s Arizona rally: Who’s In, who’s out?Gubernatorial nominee Rep. Andy Biggs will speak at President Donald Trump's rally Wednesday in Bullhead City, while at least one other GOP contender in a close race will skip the event less than three weeks before Election Day. Biggs is a… -
New U of A study finds Arizona's controlled substances law workedTUCSON — An Arizona law requiring an overdose-reversal medication to be prescribed alongside high-dose opioids was associated with increased access to that medication, including among patients not covered by the requirement, according to… -
Who is sending misleading text messages to Arizona voters?Someone is sending misleading pro-Republican text messages to Arizona voters ahead of the November election. One message includes what it calls the “official 2026 Independent voter guide.” “This is the official independent voter guide of… -
New Poll Shows Mayes, Petersen Tied In Arizona Attorney General Race - AZ FREE NEWSDemocratic Attorney General Kris Mayes and Republican challenger Warren Petersen each received 45% support among likely voters in a newly released Equis Research survey, while Gov. Katie Hobbs led Republican Andy Biggs, 49% to 43%. The…
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>99%Student List – Students Win
- Student List – Students Win>99%▲ 72
- Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia<1%▼ 72
- Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%
7 more
- Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%
- Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%
- Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification<1%
- Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić<1%
- Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović<1%
- European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš<1%
- SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak<1%
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
53%Lula da Silva <4%
- Lula da Silva <4%53%▲ 41
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%31%▼ 6
- Lula da Silva 4-8%8%▲ 8
5 more
- Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%7%▼ 34
- Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+1%▼ 1
- Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%<1%▼ 5
- Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%
- Lula da Silva 12%+<1%
Brazil Presidential election winner?
66%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva66%▲ 49
- Flávio Bolsonaro34%▼ 48
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
68%Yashar
- Yashar68%▼ 3
- Likud31%▲ 3
- Together<1%
3 more
- Shas<1%
- The Democrats<1%
- Otzma Yehudit<1%
Which party will win the House in 2026?
92%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party92%
- Republican Party9%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions