Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%
- Ken Paxton36%
Install
Alaska Senate winner? (Person) (2026)
The odds
74%Mary Peltola
- Mary Peltola74%
- Dan Sullivan25%▼ 1
- Daniel J. Sullivan<1%
- Gerald Heikes<1%
- Ann Diener<1%
- Richard Grayson<1%
- Sid Hill<1%
How the odds have moved
Mary Peltola: 73% on Oct 20, 74% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Peltola | 74% | 74¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 234.0K | |
| Dan Sullivan | 25% | ▼ 1 | 25¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 289.7K |
| Daniel J. Sullivan | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 45.9K | ||
| Gerald Heikes | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 100 | ||
| Ann Diener | <1% | 0¢ | 8.9K | |||
| Richard Grayson | <1% | 0¢ | 7.3K | |||
| Sid Hill | <1% | 0¢ | 7.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Alaska Senate, Mary Peltola, Dan Sullivan
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Trump admin. sues to block Alaska Senate certification if Sen. Dan Sullivan losesOctober 23, 2026 / 11:42 AM EDT / CBS News The Trump administration is suing to block certification of the Alaska Senate race if incumbent GOP Sen. Dan Sullivan does not win reelection — but would have won if votes for the other GOP Alaska… -
Trump administration sues to block Alaska Senate certification if Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan loses in NovemberBREAKING: Trump administration sues to block Alaska Senate certification if Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan loses in November The Justice Department has filed suit against Alaska election officials, seeking to block the results of November’s… -
Trump Admin Seeks to Block Alaska Senate Result if Dan Sullivan LosesOct 23, 2026 at 04:43 AM EDT Oct 23, 2026 at 11:19 AM EDT The Trump administration aims to stop Alaska from certifying the Senate race result if Republican Senator Dan Sullivan loses to Democrat Mary Peltola and votes for another candidate… -
Dan Sullivan vs. Dan Sullivan: Alaska Senate Election Lawsuit ExplainedThe campaign is likely to be decided by only a few thousand votes, and it could determine which party controls the Senate. So the stakes are high, and Republicans worry that voters will get confused and accidentally vote for the wrong… -
What's going on with Dan Sullivan and Dan Sullivan? The Alaska Senate litigation, explainedPresident Donald Trump's administration has taken its first step to block the results of a midterm election, and it's all about the fact that there are two Dan Sullivans on the Alaska Senate ballot. One of them is a Republican senator and… -
Democrats, voting-rights groups challenge Trump's bid to block Alaska Senate certificationDemocratic groups and voting-rights advocates are seeking to join a federal lawsuit to stop the Justice Department's effort to prevent Alaska from certifying its U.S. Senate election results if Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan loses. The… -
Democrats ask judge to dismiss Trump administration’s challenge to Alaska Senate raceAttorneys for Alaska’s Democratic Senate candidate Mary Peltola and Senate Democrats filed a motion Friday urging a federal judge to drop the Trump administration’s lawsuit that seeks to block the results of the upcoming election if… -
Legal expert on DOJ lawsuit to block certification of Alaska Senate election if Republican losesPresident Trump's Justice Department has filed a lawsuit to block the certification of Alaska's Senate race if incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan loses. It argues the presence of another GOP candidate, named Daniel J. Sullivan, could… -
DoJ sues to block certification of Alaska Senate results if Republican incumbent losesTrump justice department claims there could be ‘confusion’ about two Republicans on the ballot named Dan Sullivan The US Department of Justice on Thursday filed a pre-emptive lawsuit in federal court to block the certification of Alaska’s… -
Two Dan Sullivans, one Senate seat: How a name game is shaping Alaska’s close raceSen. Dan Sullivan is listed as a registered Republican and the incumbent, while Daniel J. Sullivan Jr., a teacher from Petersburg, appears without a party. Alaska’s Supreme Court earlier rejected Republican efforts to remove him from the… -
DOJ seeks to freeze Alaska Senate result over two Dan SullivansANCHORAGE, Alaska (Diya TV) — The Justice Department sued Alaska election officials Thursday, asking a federal judge to block certification of the U.S. Senate race if Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan loses and a hypothetical review suggests… -
Trump Sues Over ‘Scammer’ Daniel J. Sullivan as Marc Elias Cries FoulRepublican Alaska Senator Daniel S. Sullivan must compete with another Daniel Sullivan. The other Dan Sullivan claims to be a Republican but has been absent from politics. Suddenly, he wants to run for the Senate. President Trump approved…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions