Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton36%▼ 1
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Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
55%Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House
- Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House55%▼ 2
- Independent wins House; Democrats win Governor & Senate15%▼ 1
- Republican sweep12%▲ 1
- Republicans win House & Senate; Democrat wins Governor11%▲ 2
- Independent House, Democratic Governor, Republican Senate4%
- Republicans win House & Governor; Democrat wins Senate2%▼ 1
- Democratic sweep2%
- Independent House, Republican Governor, Democratic Senate1%
- Independent wins House; Republicans win Governor & Senate1%
- Republicans win Governor & Senate; Democrat wins House<1%
- Democrats win House & Senate; Republican wins Governor<1%
- Democrats win House & Governor; Republican wins Senate<1%
How the odds have moved
Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republi: 47% on Oct 20, 55% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House | 55% | ▼ 2 | 55¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | 2.4K |
| Independent wins House; Democrats win Governor & Senate | 15% | ▼ 1 | 14¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 1.6K |
| Republican sweep | 12% | ▲ 1 | 11¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 2.3K |
| Republicans win House & Senate; Democrat wins Governor | 11% | ▲ 2 | 10¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 2.1K |
| Independent House, Democratic Governor, Republican Senate | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 800 | |
| Republicans win House & Governor; Democrat wins Senate | 2% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | $20.00 | 342 | |
| Democratic sweep | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 17.0K | |
| Independent House, Republican Governor, Democratic Senate | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 366 | |
| Independent wins House; Republicans win Governor & Senate | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 689 | ||
| Republicans win Governor & Senate; Democrat wins House | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 2.3K | ||
| Democrats win House & Senate; Republican wins Governor | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.3K | ||
| Democrats win House & Governor; Republican wins Senate | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Governor & Senate, Alaska House
Search ›-
Fisheries, rising costs and schools dominate Southwestern Alaska House debateFour candidates are vying for an open seat to represent the Southwestern Alaska House District 37, one of the state's largest rural districts where fisheries, skyrocketing costs of living, transportation and schools are top of mind this… -
UNF poll shows Donalds, Moody holding narrow leads in governor, senate racesAction News Jax Action News Jax Now Action News Jax Weather 24/7 Action Sports Jax 24/7 Action News Jax 24/7 News UNF poll shows Donalds, Moody holding narrow leads in governor, senate races Incident under investigation at Orange Park High… -
UNF poll shows tight Florida governor, Senate racesJACKSONVILLE, Fla. – Republican Byron Donalds leads Democrat David Jolly by 2 percentage points in Florida’s governor’s race, while Republican U.S. Sen. Ashley Moody leads Democrat Angie Nixon by 4 points, according to a new University of… -
Full poll results on ballot questions and races for governor, senateJust two weeks before the Nov. 3 election, likely Massachusetts voters are weighing in on the record-tying nine questions on the ballot as well as the state’s leadership and economy. The poll found likely general election voters are nearly… -
The tragic life of Alaska Democrat dubbed 'No Show Mary' by Trump as truth behind longtime absence revealedBy VICTOR HELLER, US REPORTER Democratic hopeful Mary Peltola, who is running to challenge incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan for Alaska's Senate seat, has earned a reputation for missing meetings and votes while holding public office. In… -
Vance tells GOP to ‘stop whining’ about Vivek Ramaswamy’s controversial ad featuring rival’s estranged motherWASHINGTON — President Trump and Vice President Vance on Wednesday stood by Ohio gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy, who launched a controversial ad featuring his Democratic opponent’s estranged mother. Ramaswamy had been under fire… -
Business Owner Tim Gaspar and Labor-Backed Barri Worth Girvan Face Off in Los AngelesThat resume is the center of her pitch to voters. "Delivering core city services is my bread and butter," she told the Los Angeles Times. He argues that City Hall needs someone from outside government. "They're missing the business… -
“We've Been Conned”: The 65-Year-Old Lie Behind Closed PrimariesEditor's Note: The following is an exclusive series on IVN from the better elections group Open Primaries. The content originated from the group's weekly newsletter, "Primary Buzz." In Los Angeles's District 3, business owner Tim Gaspar… -
Incumbent’s record meets a call for change in House District 7Published 11:30 am Thursday, October 22, 2026 By Jeffrey Kennett Peninsula Clarion Staff Incumbent Republican Justin Ruffridge is seeking a third term in the Alaska House. Democratic challenger Kate Veh is running for her first term in the… -
Sullivan cites hard working record during Chamber forumSen. Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska), right, and Meg Nordale, president of GHEMM Co., discuss the U.S. Senate race during a Fairbanks Chamber of Commerce conversation on Tuesday. In a one-person, conversational panel at the Greater Fairbanks… -
‘Listening Session’ planned tonight to consider changes at Sheriff’s OfficePALM DESERT, Calif. (KESQ) - A Board of Supervisors committee created to consider residents' concerns and requests for changes at the Riverside County Sheriff's Department will convene a community meeting tonight in Palm Desert to hear… -
Will Republicans Skip Democrat on Democrat Races?In Los Angeles's District 3, business owner Tim Gaspar and labor-backed Barri Worth Girvan compete in a Democrat-versus-Democrat runoff where independent and Republican voters could decide the outcome. Plus, Matthew McConaughey takes on…
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1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions