Brazil Presidential Election
>99%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva>99%▲ 78
- Flávio Bolsonaro<1%▼ 79
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Acre Governor winner? (2026)
Settled Mailza AssisA day before, traders gave it 98%.
The last odds before it closed
98%Mailza Assis
- ✓ Mailza Assis98%▲ 1
- Alan Rick1%
- Dr. Luisinho1%
- Eudo Raffael1%
- Thor Dantas1%
- Tião Bocalom1%
How the odds have moved
Mailza Assis: 99% on Oct 20, 98% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Mailza Assis | 98% | 2.2K | ||||
| ✗ Alan Rick | 1% | 4.1K | ||||
| ✗ Dr. Luisinho | 1% | 227 | ||||
| ✗ Eudo Raffael | 1% | 227 | ||||
| ✗ Thor Dantas | 1% | 227 | ||||
| ✗ Tião Bocalom | 1% | 227 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Acre Governor, Mailza Assis, Alan Rick
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Brazil Holds Six Governor Runoffs 25 OctoberBRAZIL · ELECTIONS 2026 · GOVERNOR RUNOFFS Rio de Janeiro will not vote again, because its electoral court confirmed Douglas Ruas of the conservative Liberal Party (PL) as the outright winner on 10 October. Governors run state police…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions