Taiwan Semiconductor Manufactur TSM prediction markets

Every prediction market about Taiwan Semiconductor Manufactur: its own price outlook, questions about it, and the ones that move it.

420.22 +7.61 (+1.84%)on 4Conservative Finance ›

About the company

Politics › Trump administration

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

36%Unusual Machines

Unusual Machines36%▲ 2
Anduril21%▼ 1
OpenAI14%▲ 1
Nvidia14%▲ 3

13 more

TSMC13%▲ 1
Eli Lilly12%
Lockheed Martin11%
IonQ9%
Freeport-McMoRan8%
SpaceX8%▲ 1
Boeing7%▲ 1
Micron7%▲ 2
Palantir7%▲ 1
Pfizer5%
Anthropic5%▼ 5
Samsung Electronics4%
TikTok US / Bytedance4%

UMAC+0.55%005930.KS-2.75%BA+0.64%

Mentions › Politicians

What will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin Keynote? (Jensen Huang - GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote)

98%Rubin / Vera Rubin

Rubin / Vera Rubin98%
AI / Artificial Intelligence98%
Robot / Robotic / Robotics92%▲ 3
Data Center89%▲ 4

19 more

Omniverse86%
Self-driving / Autonomous86%▲ 7
Physical AI84%
Open Source83%
Blackwell83%
Europe / European80%▼ 1
OpenAI / ChatGPT77%▼ 1
Cosmos76%▼ 1
Humanoid70%▼ 8
TSMC64%
Gaming60%
Automate / Automated / Automation60%
Anthropic / Claude59%▲ 1
Hermes53%▼ 1
Hyperscaler44%
China / Chinese39%▼ 1
Tariff18%▲ 1
Iran / Middle East13%▼ 1
Event does not qualify1%▼ 2

Finance › IPOs & deals

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? (Before Jan 1, 2027)

31%Unusual Machines

Unusual Machines31%
Anduril25%▲ 1
Neros Technologies20%
Performance Drone Works12%▼ 1

14 more

OpenAI11%▲ 2
Eli Lilly11%▼ 1
Palantir10%▲ 1
TSMC9%▼ 1
Micron8%
IonQ8%▲ 1
Freeport-McMoRan8%
Anthropic7%▼ 1
Lockheed Martin7%
Pfizer7%▼ 1
Nvidia6%▼ 2
Boeing6%
TikTok US6%▼ 1
Spirit Airlines3%

UMAC+0.55%TSM+1.84%RGTI-1.10%

Mentions › Earnings calls

What will NVIDIA say during their next earnings call? (Nov 18, 2026)

90%Hyperscaler

Hyperscaler90%
Rubin (3+ times)90%
DSX75%
Cosmos74%

15 more

Omniverse73%
Rent / Renting70%
Gaming56%▼ 1
Isaac52%
Taiwan50%▼ 1
Self Driving41%
Humanoid39%
Dividend (2+ times)34%
TSMC27%
Automation25%
Domestic16%
Trump11%
Tariff10%
Hermes8%
H207%

TSM+1.84%NVDA+1.38%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.