María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
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Which companies will the US take a stake in?
The odds
36%Unusual Machines
- Unusual Machines36%▲ 7
- Anduril18%▼ 1
- OpenAI14%▲ 2
- Nvidia13%▲ 3
- Eli Lilly11%
- TSMC11%▲ 1
- IonQ11%
- Lockheed Martin9%▼ 1
- Freeport-McMoRan8%
- SpaceX8%
- Micron8%
- TikTok US / Bytedance6%▲ 3
5 more
- Boeing6%
- Pfizer6%▲ 1
- Palantir5%▲ 1
- Samsung Electronics4%
- Anthropic4%
How the odds have moved
Unusual Machines: 28% on Oct 20, 36% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 26, 6 PM ETUnusual Machines: 22% → 36%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETUnusual Machines: 32% → 49%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ GlobalFoundries | >99% | ▲ 2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $10.2K | |
| ✓ D-Wave | >99% | ▲ 4 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $5.7K | |
| ✓ Rigetti | >99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | $27.8K | ||
| Unusual Machines | 36% | ▲ 7 | 23¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | $2K |
| Anduril | 18% | ▼ 1 | 16¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | $55.6K |
| OpenAI | 14% | ▲ 2 | 12¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | $13K |
| Nvidia | 13% | ▲ 3 | 10¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | $18.4K |
| Eli Lilly | 11% | 9¢ | 13¢ | $7.87 | $4.5K | |
| TSMC | 11% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | $19.8K |
| IonQ | 11% | 9¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | $5.3K | |
| Lockheed Martin | 9% | ▼ 1 | 8¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | $4.1K |
| Freeport-McMoRan | 8% | 7¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | $3.5K | |
| SpaceX | 8% | 6¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | $256 | |
| Micron | 8% | 6¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | $3.1K | |
| TikTok US / Bytedance | 6% | ▲ 3 | 4¢ | 8¢ | $12.05 | $6.8K |
| Boeing | 6% | 5¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | $12.1K | |
| Pfizer | 6% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 6¢ | $15.87 | $7.1K |
| Palantir | 5% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 6¢ | $16.39 | $5.4K |
| Samsung Electronics | 4% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.93 | $10.4K | |
| Anthropic | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.49 | $8.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Unusual Machines
Search ›-
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Unusual Machines (NYSEAMERICAN:UMAC) Now Covered by Analysts at Northland SecuritiesPosted by Danessa Lincoln on Oct 23rd, 2026 Stock analysts at Northland Securities started coverage on shares of Unusual Machines (NYSEAMERICAN:UMAC – Get Free Report) in a research report issued on Friday, Marketbeat.com reports. The… -
Unusual Machines Sees Commercial Drone Biz Overtaking Defense By 2029Unusual Machines expects commercial uses to comprise around half the end market for its drone components by 2029, reversing defense’s current domination. Unusual Machines Sees Commercial Drone Biz Overtaking Defense By 2029 Based in Rhode… - Unusual Machines Receives $16.9 Million Purchase Order from Powerus for American-Made Drone ComponentsOrder Helps Powerus Scale Production of Autonomous and Counter-Drone Systems to Meet Growing Demand ORLANDO, FL / ACCESS Newswire / October 22, 2026 / Unusual Machines, Inc. (NYSE American:UMAC), a leading manufacturer of NDAA-compliant…
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Unusual Machines: The Multibagger In The Making For U.S. Drone SupplyUnusual Machines is a rapidly growing NDAA-compliant drone component supplier that could surpass $250 million in revenue by 2027. I rate UMAC stock as Strong Buy. - Unusual Machines is a rapidly growing NDAA-compliant drone component… - Unusual Machines, Inc. $UMAC Stock: Counterpoint Mutual Funds LLC Lowers HoldingsPosted by Defense World Staff on Oct 20th, 2026 NYSEAMERICAN UMAC opened at $16.40 on Tuesday. The company’s fifty day moving average is $23.71 and its two-hundred day moving average is $20.90. Unusual Machines, Inc. has a 52-week low of…
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Unusual Machines (UMAC) Closes Acquisition of Upgrade EnergyTradingView Unusual Machines (UMAC) Closes Acquisition of Upgrade Energy Unusual Machines, Inc. completed the acquisition of DroneNX LLC (Upgrade Energy), adding U.S.-made drone batteries and power systems to its portfolio and planning… -
Lantronix CEO to Meet with Investors and Defense Customers at AUSA 2026IRVINE, Calif., Oct. 07, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Lantronix Inc. (Nasdaq: LTRX), a global provider of Edge AI and Industrial IoT solutions that power NDAA-compliant unmanned systems, critical ... Lantronix CEO to Meet with Investors and… -
Unusual Machines Completes Acquisition of Upgrade Energy, Expanding U.S. Drone Battery ManufacturingRITZ® Brand Introduces Gluten Free Crackers in Original Flavor Plug Power Appoints Dr. Lee Sweetland as Global Engineering Industrialization Lead Eos Energy Enterprises Announces Preliminary Third Quarter 2026 Revenue Growth and Continued… -
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) Stock Price, News & Analysis | 24/7 Wall St.Headquartered in San Diego, CA · Fiscal year ends December · NASDAQ: KTOS · kratosdefense.com A cash offer for Austrian engine maker Steyr Motors is sending shares of Red Cat Holdings (NASDAQ:RCAT) sharply higher as the drone maker moves… -
SES AI Ramps Up Production at South Korean Drone Battery PlantSES AI (SES) said Monday that it has ramped up production at its drone battery plant in Chungju, South Korea, to one million cells per annum. These drone cells comply with the United States' National ... Oops, something went wrong U.S… - Edge AI Deployment: How AI Models Work Closer to Where Data Is CreatedAI applications often depend on cloud infrastructure for model inference. A camera, sensor, or user device sends data to a remote server; the AI model processes it, and the result is sent back. While this approach provides access to…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions