Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? (Before Jan 1, 2027)

Kalshi Finance › IPOs & deals Closes Dec 31 · $196 today · $257K traded · $65.7K at stake · prices read 18 min ago

The odds

34%Unusual Machines
  • Unusual Machines34%▲ 3
  • Anduril23%▼ 2
  • Neros Technologies19%▼ 1
  • OpenAI12%▲ 1
  • Nvidia11%▲ 1
  • Performance Drone Works11%▲ 1
  • Eli Lilly11%
  • Anthropic10%▲ 2
  • TSMC10%▼ 3
  • Micron10%
  • Palantir8%
  • IonQ8%▼ 1
6 more
  • Lockheed Martin8%
  • Freeport-McMoRan8%
  • TikTok US7%▼ 1
  • Pfizer7%
  • Boeing6%
  • Spirit Airlines3%

How the odds have moved

Unusual Machines: 31% on Oct 20, 34% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ Rigetti Computing 97% $1.03 60.0K
✓ D-Wave Quantum 97% $1.03 46.7K
✓ GlobalFoundries 94% $1.06 41.2K
Unusual Machines 34% ▲ 3 33¢ 35¢ $2.86 10.5K
Anduril 23% ▼ 2 22¢ 24¢ $4.17 201.4K
Neros Technologies 19% ▼ 1 16¢ 22¢ $4.55 9.1K
OpenAI 12% ▲ 1 11¢ 13¢ $7.69 95.1K
Nvidia 11% ▲ 1 9¢ 13¢ $7.69 60.0K
Performance Drone Works 11% ▲ 1 10¢ 12¢ $8.33 7.4K
Eli Lilly 11% 10¢ 11¢ $9.09 15.8K
Anthropic 10% ▲ 2 8¢ 12¢ $8.33 100.1K
TSMC 10% ▼ 3 9¢ 11¢ $9.09 30.0K
Micron 10% 9¢ 10¢ $10.00 29.6K
Palantir 8% 7¢ 9¢ $11.11 83.4K
IonQ 8% ▼ 1 6¢ 10¢ $10.00 31.6K
Lockheed Martin 8% 6¢ 9¢ $11.11 60.4K
Freeport-McMoRan 8% 6¢ 9¢ $11.11 9.4K
TikTok US 7% ▼ 1 5¢ 9¢ $11.11 10.7K
Pfizer 7% 6¢ 7¢ $14.29 11.7K
Boeing 6% 4¢ 7¢ $14.29 29.6K
Spirit Airlines 3% 2¢ 4¢ $25.00 310.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Unusual Machines, Neros Technologies

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Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

28%$1.75–$2.0T
  • $1.75–$2.0T28%▼ 1
  • $1.5–$1.75T22%▲ 2
  • $2.0–$2.25T18%▼ 4
7 more
  • $2.25–$2.5T10%▼ 2
  • $1.25–$1.5T7%▲ 1
  • <$1.25T6%▲ 3
  • $3.0T+3%▼ 1
  • $2.5–$2.75T2%▼ 2
  • No IPO by December 31, 20272%▼ 1
  • $2.75–$3.0T2%

IPOs before 2027?

79%Anthropic
  • Anthropic79%▼ 3
  • Celonis8%▲ 5
  • Discord6%▼ 1
26 more
  • Ledger6%
  • Rippling6%▼ 2
  • Freddie Mac5%▲ 1
  • Perplexity5%
  • Remote4%
  • Revolut4%
  • Applied Intuition3%
  • OpenAI3%
  • Mistral AI3%▲ 1
  • Fannie Mae3%
  • WHOOP3%▲ 1
  • Anysphere (Cursor)3%
  • Canva3%
  • Ripple Labs3%
  • Ramp2%
  • Vanta2%▲ 1
  • ByteDance2%
  • Stripe2%
  • Databricks2%
  • Anduril Industries2%
  • Waymo2%
  • Epic Games2%
  • Anduril2%
  • Glean1%
  • Brex1%
  • Deel<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.