Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
KalshiFinance › IPOs & dealsCloses Dec 31 · $196 today · $257K traded · $65.7K at stake · prices read 18 min ago
The odds
34%Unusual Machines
Unusual Machines34%▲ 3
Anduril23%▼ 2
Neros Technologies19%▼ 1
OpenAI12%▲ 1
Nvidia11%▲ 1
Performance Drone Works11%▲ 1
Eli Lilly11%
Anthropic10%▲ 2
TSMC10%▼ 3
Micron10%
Palantir8%
IonQ8%▼ 1
6 more
Lockheed Martin8%
Freeport-McMoRan8%
TikTok US7%▼ 1
Pfizer7%
Boeing6%
Spirit Airlines3%
How the odds have moved
Unusual Machines: 31% on Oct 20, 34% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
✓ Rigetti Computing
97%
$1.03
60.0K
✓ D-Wave Quantum
97%
$1.03
46.7K
✓ GlobalFoundries
94%
$1.06
41.2K
Unusual Machines
34%
▲ 3
33¢
35¢
$2.86
10.5K
Anduril
23%
▼ 2
22¢
24¢
$4.17
201.4K
Neros Technologies
19%
▼ 1
16¢
22¢
$4.55
9.1K
OpenAI
12%
▲ 1
11¢
13¢
$7.69
95.1K
Nvidia
11%
▲ 1
9¢
13¢
$7.69
60.0K
Performance Drone Works
11%
▲ 1
10¢
12¢
$8.33
7.4K
Eli Lilly
11%
10¢
11¢
$9.09
15.8K
Anthropic
10%
▲ 2
8¢
12¢
$8.33
100.1K
TSMC
10%
▼ 3
9¢
11¢
$9.09
30.0K
Micron
10%
9¢
10¢
$10.00
29.6K
Palantir
8%
7¢
9¢
$11.11
83.4K
IonQ
8%
▼ 1
6¢
10¢
$10.00
31.6K
Lockheed Martin
8%
6¢
9¢
$11.11
60.4K
Freeport-McMoRan
8%
6¢
9¢
$11.11
9.4K
TikTok US
7%
▼ 1
5¢
9¢
$11.11
10.7K
Pfizer
7%
6¢
7¢
$14.29
11.7K
Boeing
6%
4¢
7¢
$14.29
29.6K
Spirit Airlines
3%
2¢
4¢
$25.00
310.2K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Unusual Machines (NYSEAMERICAN:UMAC) Now Covered by Analysts at Northland SecuritiesMarkets Daily · 28 h agoPosted by Danessa Lincoln on Oct 23rd, 2026 Stock analysts at Northland Securities started coverage on shares of Unusual Machines (NYSEAMERICAN:UMAC – Get Free Report) in a research report issued on Friday, Marketbeat.com reports. The…
Unusual Machines Sees Commercial Drone Biz Overtaking Defense By 2029Aviation Week Network · 44 h agoUnusual Machines expects commercial uses to comprise around half the end market for its drone components by 2029, reversing defense’s current domination. Unusual Machines Sees Commercial Drone Biz Overtaking Defense By 2029 Based in Rhode…
Unusual Machines: The Multibagger In The Making For U.S. Drone SupplySeeking Alpha · 3 days agoUnusual Machines is a rapidly growing NDAA-compliant drone component supplier that could surpass $250 million in revenue by 2027. I rate UMAC stock as Strong Buy. - Unusual Machines is a rapidly growing NDAA-compliant drone component…
Unusual Machines, Inc. $UMAC Stock: Counterpoint Mutual Funds LLC Lowers HoldingsDefense World · 4 days agoPosted by Defense World Staff on Oct 20th, 2026 NYSEAMERICAN UMAC opened at $16.40 on Tuesday. The company’s fifty day moving average is $23.71 and its two-hundred day moving average is $20.90. Unusual Machines, Inc. has a 52-week low of…
Unusual Machines (UMAC) Closes Acquisition of Upgrade EnergyTradingView · 5 days agoTradingView Unusual Machines (UMAC) Closes Acquisition of Upgrade Energy Unusual Machines, Inc. completed the acquisition of DroneNX LLC (Upgrade Energy), adding U.S.-made drone batteries and power systems to its portfolio and planning…
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) Stock Price, News & Analysis | 24/7 Wall St.24/7 Wall St. · 22 h agoHeadquartered in San Diego, CA · Fiscal year ends December · NASDAQ: KTOS · kratosdefense.com A cash offer for Austrian engine maker Steyr Motors is sending shares of Red Cat Holdings (NASDAQ:RCAT) sharply higher as the drone maker moves…
SES AI Ramps Up Production at South Korean Drone Battery PlantYahoo Finance · 5 days agoSES AI (SES) said Monday that it has ramped up production at its drone battery plant in Chungju, South Korea, to one million cells per annum. These drone cells comply with the United States' National ... Oops, something went wrong U.S…
Edge AI Deployment: How AI Models Work Closer to Where Data Is CreatedTechgenyz · 6 days agoAI applications often depend on cloud infrastructure for model inference. A camera, sensor, or user device sends data to a remote server; the AI model processes it, and the result is sent back. While this approach provides access to…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.