Anthropic IPO by __?

Polymarket Finance › IPOs & deals Closes Dec 31 · $21.1K today · $5.4M traded · $689K at stake · prices read 8 min ago

The odds

Nov 30, 2026even chance by

October 31, 2026<1%
November 15, 20262%
November 30, 202652%▼ 14
December 15, 202673%▼ 1
December 31, 202675%▼ 2

How the odds have moved

October 31, 2026: <1% on Oct 20, <1% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
June 30, 2026	<1%			0¢		$32.2K
July 31, 2026	<1%			0¢		$75.8K
September 15, 2026	<1%			0¢		$325K
September 30, 2026	<1%			0¢		$1.1M
October 15, 2026	<1%			0¢		$247K
October 31, 2026	<1%		0¢	0¢		$1.3M
November 15, 2026	2%		1¢	2¢	$58.82	$226K
November 30, 2026	52%	▼ 14	51¢	52¢	$1.92	$472K
December 15, 2026	73%	▼ 1	72¢	73¢	$1.37	$273K
December 31, 2026	75%	▼ 2	74¢	75¢	$1.33	$1.4M

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Anthropic, Claude, Anthropic IPO

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Wall Street is awaiting Anthropic's IPO — and more AI newsCNBC · 47 h agoFrom Anthropicâs upcoming IPO to OpenAIâs funding round that could value the AI giant at more than $1 trillion, CNBCâs Kate Rooney breaks down the headlines in AI this week. Wall Street is awaiting Anthropic's IPO â and more AI news
Anthropic IPO is biggest question mark for entire market: Vital Knowledge's CrisafulliCNBC · 46 h agoCNBCâs âClosing Bell Overtimeâ team discusses the week's trading action, the upcoming week of earnings results and more with Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge and Brad Conger of Hirtle and Company. Anthropic IPO is biggest question…
Anthropic IPO odds near record highs despite market volatilityCrypto Briefing · 2 days agoEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
Anthropic IPO: What should investors consider when valuing the AI company? Aswath Damodaran explainsThe Economic Times · 39 h agoAnthropic is on track for an IPO expected in mid-November, reporting impressive revenues of $16.3 billion. However, the company faces a staggering net loss of over $80 billion for the year. Valuation expert Aswath Damodaran warns that IPO…
Why OpenAI could be in trouble if Anthropic's IPO doesn't go wellYahoo Finance · 2 days agoManhattan Venture Partners managing partner Jared Carmel sits down with Yahoo Finance Executive Editor Brian Sozzi to discuss what OpenAI's (OPAI.PVT) decision to stay private could mean for the AI developer in the long run, especially…
Anthropic IPO Filing Reveals $80 Billion Loss and $600 Billion in Computing BillsCoinCentral · 32 h agoAnthropic reported a net loss of $80.7 billion for the first half of 2026, according to a draft IPO prospectus reviewed by The Wall Street Journal and Reuters. The loss compares with $13 billion in the same period a year earlier. It is one…
Anthropic IPO Targets Mid-November as OpenAI Races for $30 Billion at $1.25T-$1.4T ValuationFinanceFeeds · 30 h agoAnthropic’s anticipated mid-November IPO is becoming a race for investor capital as rival OpenAI seeks to secure roughly $30 billion in private funding before public markets get their first detailed look at the Claude developer’s finances…
Anthropic IPO, MANGOS ETFs and the Future of the AI TradeThe Globe and Mail · 4 days agoIn this episode of ETF Spotlight, I speak with Paul Marino, Chief Revenue Officer of Themes ETFs, about the AI trade, the Anthropic IPO, and investing in MANGOS companies. The bull market recently celebrated its fourth anniversary, but…
Anthropic IPO stands alone as AI market jitters sideline othersCentral Oregon Daily · 3 days ago(Corrects paragraph 11 to remove erroneous reference to Elice's listing plan) Oct 22 (Reuters) - A once-robust fall calendar for technology IPOs is down to just Anthropic. The AI lab is pressing ahead to hold its initial public offering as…
How Nvidia Stock Can Make or Break the Anthropic IPO – and the Claude Maker’s Potential $2 Trillion Valuationbarchart.com · 2 days ago
Anthropic IPO to drive Bblockbuster gains for Iconiq, Spark, GIC- Moneycontrol.comMoneycontrol · 3 days agoBy the time Iconiq made its first investment in Anthropic PBC in 2025, the artificial intelligence developer was valued at $183 billion — more than almost any other tech startup in the world — and well on its way to becoming an AI…
Anthropic's IPO Draft Reveals an 80.7 Billion DollarDEV Community · 4 days agoA draft prospectus for Anthropic's planned November IPO shows the company posted a net loss of 80.7... Tagged with ai, anthropic. A draft prospectus for Anthropic's planned November IPO shows the company posted a net loss of 80.7 billion…

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Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

28%$1.75–$2.0T

$1.75–$2.0T28%▼ 2
$2.0–$2.25T20%
$1.5–$1.75T19%

7 more

$2.25–$2.5T10%▼ 1
<$1.25T7%▲ 1
$1.25–$1.5T5%▼ 3
$2.5–$2.75T3%
$3.0T+3%
No IPO by December 31, 20272%
$2.75–$3.0T1%

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Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

67%SpaceX

SpaceX67%
Anthropic29%▲ 1
OpenAI<1%

9 more

Stripe<1%
ByteDance<1%
Databricks<1%
SHEIN<1%
Waymo<1%
Revolut<1%
Discord<1%
Perplexity AI<1%
Kraken<1%

Finance › IPOs & deals

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

Nov 24, 2026even chance by

Before Nov 1, 20261%▲ 1
Before Dec 1, 202668%▼ 3
Before Jan 1, 202775%▼ 8

3 more

Before Feb 1, 202789%
Before Mar 1, 202792%
Before Apr 1, 202793%▲ 1

Finance › IPOs & deals

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

57%$1.50–$1.75T

$1.50–$1.75T57%▼ 7
$1.75–$2.00T20%▼ 6
$2.00–$2.25T5%▲ 1

5 more

$2.25–$2.50T4%
$1.25–$1.50T3%
$2.50T+2%
No IPO by December 31, 20271%
<$1.25T1%

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Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

14%Perplexity AI

Perplexity AI14%▲ 1
PayPal13%▲ 3
Viking Therapeutics12%

11 more

Brown-Forman8%▲ 1
Zoom Video Communications6%
GitLab6%
MGM Resorts5%▼ 4
Lovable5%▼ 1
Snapchat4%
BP4%
Nebius Group3%
Ubisoft2%
OpenAI2%
Anthropic2%

Finance › IPOs & deals

IPOs before 2027?

75%Anthropic

Anthropic75%▼ 2
Celonis7%
Discord6%

26 more

Ledger6%
Rippling6%
Perplexity5%
Freddie Mac4%
Revolut4%
Remote4%
Applied Intuition3%
OpenAI3%
Fannie Mae3%
Canva3%
Anysphere (Cursor)3%
Mistral AI3%
Ripple Labs3%
WHOOP3%
Ramp2%
Vanta2%
ByteDance2%
Databricks2%
Stripe2%
Waymo2%
Anduril Industries2%
Epic Games2%
Anduril2%
Glean1%
Brex1%
Deel<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesDec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$5.4M

Today$21.1K

This week$306K

At stake$689K

In the news116 headlines today, 1,838 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions