Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
27%$1.75–$2.0T
- $1.75–$2.0T27%▼ 1
- $2.0–$2.25T24%▲ 5
- $1.5–$1.75T16%▼ 2
7 more
- $2.25–$2.5T11%▲ 2
- $1.25–$1.5T6%▼ 3
- <$1.25T6%
- No IPO by December 31, 20274%▲ 1
- $2.5–$2.75T3%
- $3.0T+2%▼ 1
- $2.75–$3.0T1%
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What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
The odds
59%$1.50–$1.75T
- $1.50–$1.75T59%▲ 1
- $1.75–$2.00T20%▼ 2
- $2.00–$2.25T4%
- $1.25–$1.50T4%▲ 2
- $2.25–$2.50T4%
- $2.50T+2%
- No IPO by December 31, 20272%
- <$1.25T1%
How the odds have moved
$1.50–$1.75T: 44% on Oct 20, 59% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 25, 11 PM ET$1.50–$1.75T: 56% → 62%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
- Oct 23, 11 PM ET$1.50–$1.75T: 43% → 58%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1.50–$1.75T | 59% | ▲ 1 | 57¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | $39.1K |
| $1.75–$2.00T | 20% | ▼ 2 | 16¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | $96.9K |
| $2.00–$2.25T | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $13.51 | $43.5K | |
| $1.25–$1.50T | 4% | ▲ 2 | 3¢ | 6¢ | $17.86 | $11.5K |
| $2.25–$2.50T | 4% | 4¢ | 4¢ | $27.03 | $13.6K | |
| $2.50T+ | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $34.48 | $8.5K | |
| No IPO by December 31, 2027 | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $35.71 | $6.3K | |
| <$1.25T | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $90.91 | $7.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Anthropic, Claude, Anthropic's IPO
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Wall Street is awaiting Anthropic's IPO — and more AI newsFrom Anthropicâs upcoming IPO to OpenAIâs funding round that could value the AI giant at more than $1 trillion, CNBCâs Kate Rooney breaks down the headlines in AI this week. Wall Street is awaiting Anthropic's IPO â and more AI news -
Anthropic IPO is biggest question mark for entire market: Vital Knowledge's CrisafulliCNBCâs âClosing Bell Overtimeâ team discusses the week's trading action, the upcoming week of earnings results and more with Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge and Brad Conger of Hirtle and Company. Anthropic IPO is biggest question… -
Anthropic IPO: What should investors consider when valuing the AI company? Aswath Damodaran explainsAnthropic is on track for an IPO expected in mid-November, reporting impressive revenues of $16.3 billion. However, the company faces a staggering net loss of over $80 billion for the year. Valuation expert Aswath Damodaran warns that IPO… -
Anthropic IPO odds near record highs despite market volatilityEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
Why OpenAI could be in trouble if Anthropic's IPO doesn't go wellManhattan Venture Partners managing partner Jared Carmel sits down with Yahoo Finance Executive Editor Brian Sozzi to discuss what OpenAI's (OPAI.PVT) decision to stay private could mean for the AI developer in the long run, especially… -
Anthropic IPO Filing Reveals $80 Billion Loss and $600 Billion in Computing BillsAnthropic reported a net loss of $80.7 billion for the first half of 2026, according to a draft IPO prospectus reviewed by The Wall Street Journal and Reuters. The loss compares with $13 billion in the same period a year earlier. It is one… -
Anthropic IPO Targets Mid-November as OpenAI Races for $30 Billion at $1.25T-$1.4T ValuationAnthropic’s anticipated mid-November IPO is becoming a race for investor capital as rival OpenAI seeks to secure roughly $30 billion in private funding before public markets get their first detailed look at the Claude developer’s finances… -
Anthropic's IPO could be the ultimate test for the AI tradeAnthropic (ANTH.PVT) is expected to publicly file its S-1 prospectus as early as Friday night, sources told Yahoo Finance. Rainmaker Securities managing director Greg Martin weighs in on how Anthropic's long-awaited public listing could… -
Anthropic IPO stands alone as AI market jitters sideline others(Corrects paragraph 11 to remove erroneous reference to Elice's listing plan) Oct 22 (Reuters) - A once-robust fall calendar for technology IPOs is down to just Anthropic. The AI lab is pressing ahead to hold its initial public offering as… -
Anthropic IPO, MANGOS ETFs and the Future of the AI TradeIn this episode of ETF Spotlight, I speak with Paul Marino, Chief Revenue Officer of Themes ETFs, about the AI trade, the Anthropic IPO, and investing in MANGOS companies. The bull market recently celebrated its fourth anniversary, but… -
Anthropic IPO to drive Bblockbuster gains for Iconiq, Spark, GIC- Moneycontrol.comBy the time Iconiq made its first investment in Anthropic PBC in 2025, the artificial intelligence developer was valued at $183 billion — more than almost any other tech startup in the world — and well on its way to becoming an AI…
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Nov 22, 2026even chance by
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions