ForecastExEconomyCloses Dec 9 · $79 today · $3.2K traded · $3.2K at stake · prices read 9 min ago
The odds
11,656median
11,00012,750
Median11,656Middle half11,567 – 11,746
How the odds have moved
Median: 11,656 on Oct 20, 11,656 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above 11,250
94%
$1.07
548
Above 11,500
94%
$1.07
1.3K
Above 11,750
24%
$4.17
2.9K
Above 12,000
16%
$6.25
2.7K
Above 12,250
6%
$16.67
4.6K
Above 12,500
6%
$16.67
1.3K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.