ForecastExEconomyCloses Dec 9 · $155 today · $28.2K traded · $28.2K at stake · prices read 11 min ago
The odds
53,453median
47,00058,000
Median53,453Middle half52,909 – 53,925
How the odds have moved
Median: 53,460 on Oct 20, 53,453 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above 48,000
94%
$1.06
1.1K
Above 49,000
94%
$1.06
1.2K
Above 50,000
94%
$1.06
1.6K
Above 51,000
92%
$1.09
7.2K
Above 52,000
85%
$1.18
10.1K
Above 53,000
74%
$1.35
9.9K
Above 54,000
21%
$4.76
6.3K
Above 55,000
8%
$12.50
4.7K
Above 56,000
6%
$18.18
5.3K
Above 57,000
6%
$18.18
873
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.