Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%
- Ken Paxton36%
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Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner
The odds
59%Ashley Moody (R)
- Ashley Moody (R)59%▲ 1
- Angie Nixon (D)41%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Ashley Moody (R): 61% on Oct 20, 59% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 24, 10 PM ETAshley Moody (R): 61% → 53%
- Oct 21, 8 PM ETAshley Moody (R): 48% → 55%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Moody (R) | 59% | ▲ 1 | 57¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | $7.8K |
| Angie Nixon (D) | 41% | ▼ 1 | 39¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | $7.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Florida Senate, Miami-Dade County
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‘Angie Will Be An Outstanding Senator’: Obama Endorses Angie Nixon For Florida SenateFormer US President Barack Obama on Saturday endorsed progressive Florida state Representative Angie Nixon in her bid for the US Senate, calling her a leader who has repeatedly stood up for what is right. In a one-minute video, Obama… -
Recommended StoriesWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Larger turnout expected on weekends for early voting in South FloridaOctober 24, 2026 / 3:31 PM EDT / CBS Miami Jorge Jaen came to beat the lines at the polls at a Miami-Dade Elections headquarters. He had a polling place closer to his house in Kendall. "I was in the area. So it makes sense," Jaen said. He… -
In the Venezuelan stronghold of Doral, some voters discouraged by Trump's policies ahead of midterms: "I feel, in a way, betrayed."October 24, 2026 / 9:47 PM EDT / CBS News Latinos voted in record numbers for President Trump in 2024, but polling shows that voting bloc is up for grabs in the midterms. And one region that reflects that shift is Florida's Miami-Dade… -
Obama, Jason Aldean hit campaign trail as midterm races heat upFox News contributor Richard Fowler and Rainey Center's Rob Smith join 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to discuss Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed's rally with Barack Obama and how Black voters play a key role in the election… - 2026 Midterm Elections Voter Guide (Part 2: Judicial Elections)Early voting has started, and election day is not far off, so here are some thoughts, in the second and shortest t of three (!) parts, on the upcoming election. But some of them are not long… Part 1: Federal and State non-judicial offices…
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Republican Deployed Leaders in All 67 Florida Counties for Election Day PushThe Team Moody County Chairs that were announced by the campaign include: Alachua County: Craig Anderson Baker County: Randy Crews Bay County: Sheriff Tommy Ford Bradford County: Richard & Donna Solze Brevard County: Sheriff Wayne Ivey… -
HD 115 race pits flush incumbent Omar Blanco against long-shot challenger Marco ReyesMiami Republican Rep. Omar Blanco is defending his seat on increasingly friendly turf. The firefighter and former union President faces Marco Reyes, a real estate agent and Democratic Party activist, in the race for House District 115. And… -
Winner and Loser of the Week in Florida politics — Week of 10.18.26Halloween is coming up, landing just days before the Nov. 3 election. And in Florida politics, plenty of people have been in costume for weeks. Byron Donalds is dressed as a candidate who’s never heard of Donald Trump. His campaign quietly… -
Moskowitz, Singer Face Controversies in Costly Florida Congressional RaceVINnews AVENTURA (VINnews) — The contest between Democratic U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz and Republican challenger and former Boca Raton Mayor Scott Singer for Florida’s newly drawn 25th Congressional District has turned into one of the… -
Ro Khanna backs Nixon in Florida Senate race, criticizes Democratic leadershipNEW YORK (Diya TV) — Rep. Ro Khanna criticized Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer’s approach to party leadership while campaigning in Florida for Democratic Senate candidate Angie Nixon. “I am a New Deal Democrat, not a Chuck Schumer… -
Salvadoran troops land in Haiti aboard Pentagon plane amid crisis over ambushed soldiersFour planeloads of soldiers from El Salvador landed in Haiti on Friday, days after the Central American nation’s president angrily threatened Haitian gangs that ambushed a group of Salvadoran soldiers over the past weekend who remain…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions