Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%
- Ken Paxton36%
Install
Massachusetts Senate Election: Turnout
The odds
2.74Mmedian
2.05M3.25M
Median 2.74MMiddle half 2.55M – 2.93M
How the odds have moved
Median: 2.73M on Oct 20, 2.74M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <2.2M | 4% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.39 | $492 |
| 2.2M-2.35M | 12% | 10¢ | 14¢ | $7.09 | $549 | |
| 2.35M-2.5M | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.08 | $490 | |
| 2.5M-2.65M | 16% | ▼ 1 | 16¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | $666 |
| 2.65M-2.8M | 24% | ▲ 3 | 24¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | $3.9K |
| 2.8M-2.95M | 18% | 17¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | $3.8K | |
| 2.95M-3.1M | 9% | ▼ 6 | 8¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | $786 |
| 3.1M+ | 13% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 16¢ | $6.10 | $836 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Massachusetts Senate
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Massachusetts House passes $2.35B supplemental budget to close out FY26BOSTON (WWLP) – The Massachusetts House of Representatives passed a $2.354 billion supplemental budget Wednesday aimed at closing out the 2026 fiscal year. The bill, which passed 152-0, includes $1.524 billion in net spending and addresses… -
Massachusetts Senate Passes Bill Requiring Insurance Coverage of Cancer Screenings for FirefightersOn Thursday, Oct. 15, the Massachusetts Senate approved legislation requiring no-cost cancer screenings for eligible full-time firefighters. According to a WBUR report, the Senate approved S 3284, advancing it after… According to a WBUR… -
Mass. upgraded from least competitive elections in the country to second-worstby Chris Lisinski, CommonWealth Beacon October 19, 2026 FOR THE FIRST time since Barack Obama was president, Massachusetts did not land in dead last place in one assessment of electoral competitiveness. It came in second to last. Thanks to…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions