Texas Senate winner? (2026)
66%James Talarico
- James Talarico66%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton35%▼ 1
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Virginia Senate Election: Turnout
The odds
3.54Mmedian
2.25M4.25M
Median 3.54MMiddle half 3.05M – 3.68M
How the odds have moved
Median: 3.54M on Oct 20, 3.54M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <2.5M | 5% | 2¢ | 8¢ | $13.16 | $1.8K | |
| 2.5M-2.75M | 14% | ▲ 5 | 13¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | $4.3K |
| 2.75M-3M | 5% | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | $2K | |
| 3M-3.25M | 8% | 7¢ | 10¢ | $10.31 | $1.3K | |
| 3.25M-3.5M | 11% | ▼ 7 | 5¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | $1.7K |
| 3.5M-3.75M | 45% | ▼ 2 | 45¢ | 46¢ | $2.16 | $10.6K |
| 3.75M-4M | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.71 | $2.4K | |
| 4M+ | 8% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.13 | $2.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Virginia Senate
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Who Is Suhas Subramanyam? Indian-American Democrat Seeks Re-Election In Virginia’s 10th District; Education, Career, Family And Net WorthMr Suhas Subramanyam is an Indian American political figure who represents Virginia’s 10th congressional district in the United States House of Representatives. This individual is a lawyer and an ex-advisor to the White House on issues of… -
Early voting underway in West VirginiaPeople enter the polling location at the Woody Williams Center for Advanced Learning and Careers as early voting for the Nov. 3 primary election begins on Wednesday, Oct. 21, 2026, at the Huntington Mall in Barboursville. David Eakle, of… -
Election 2026: Tom Takubo, Wes Holden run for State Senate District 17 (full term)This is a composite image from left: State Sen. Tom Takubo and Wes Holden. In the 2026 election, Takubo is the Republican nominee, and Holden is the Democratic nominee for the West Virginia Senate 17th District. Editor's note: This is one… -
Election 2026: Anne Charnock, Richie Robb run for State Senate District 17 (unexpired)This is a composite image from left: State Sen. Anne Charnock and Richie Robb. In the 2026 election, Takubo is the Republican nominee, and Holden is the Democratic nominee for the West Virginia Senate 17th District part seat. Editor's… -
Va. Senate Clerk Susan Clarke Schaar to retire after 36 years in roleRichmond Times-Dispatch Javascript is required to use this website. Va. Senate Clerk Susan Clarke Schaar to retire after 36 years in role Varinaâs High School defense; Chesterfield Towne Center; Houriganâs most visible projects Susan… -
Election 2026: Lance Wheeler, Kim Hundley run for State Senate District 8 seatThis is a composite image from left: Lance Wheeler and Kim Hundley. In the 2026 election, Wheeler is the Republican nominee, and Hundley is the Democratic nominee for the West Virginia Senate 8th District. Editor's note: This is one in a… -
Fatimah Dandashi named Alexandria legislative director ahead of General Assembly sessionThe district director for Senate Majority Leader Scott Surovell starts Oct. 26, with the city’s 2027 legislative package still in development. ALEXANDRIA, Va. - Alexandria has hired Fatimah Dandashi, district director for Virginia Senate… -
Mitch Carmichael: The 120-day clock that could rewrite your job (Opinion)Imagine negotiating a contract that governs your pay, schedule and benefits, only to have someone outside your workplace decide its final terms. That could happen under the Faster Labor Contracts Act, a proposal before Congress affecting… -
PACs play role in West Virginia elections through endorsements, campaign contributionsCHARLESTON, W.Va. — Political action committees are helping shape West Virginia’s elections by financially supporting candidates, endorsing campaigns and spending money to influence voters, often in pursuit of specific policy priorities… -
Virginia US Sen. Mark Warner seeks final term in race against military veteran Bert MizusawaFollow WTOP’s team coverage of Election 2026 online, on air at 103.5 FM or on the WTOP News app. And for all the latest developments in Congress, follow WTOP Capitol Hill correspondent Mitchell Miller at Today on the Hill. Democratic U.S… -
Henrico Doctors' child abuse case becomes flash point in tight race for CongressFor more than a year, prosecutor Shannon Taylor's most high-profile case involved a former nurse at Henrico Doctors' Hospital accused of abusing infants inside the neonatal intensive care unit. Rep. Rob Wittman, R-1st, claims Shannon…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions