Texas Senate winner? (2026)
66%James Talarico
- James Talarico66%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton35%▼ 1
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West Virginia Senate Election: Turnout
The odds
508,690median
350,000700,000
Median 508,690Middle half 468,738 – 557,005
How the odds have moved
Median: 493,450 on Oct 20, 508,690 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <400K | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $55.56 | $810 | |
| 400K-450K | 12% | ▲ 1 | 11¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | $5.3K |
| 450K-500K | 32% | ▼ 1 | 31¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | $5.2K |
| 500K-550K | 29% | ▼ 1 | 28¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | $1.8K |
| 550K-600K | 8% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.26 | $861 |
| 600K-650K | 10% | ▼ 1 | 9¢ | 12¢ | $8.62 | $1.1K |
| 650K+ | 8% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.26 | $1.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: West Virginia Senate
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Sen. Oliverio, Del. Williams, and Taylor Richmond highlight education, data center development in 13th District State Senate debateMORGANTOWN, W.Va. — The two major party candidates and the Libertarian Party nominee for the 13th District West Virginia Senate seat have made their pitch ahead of the 2026 General Election on November 3. Incumbent 13th District Senator… -
Bridgeport City Council to consider zoning changes, Cherry Grove developmentBRIDGEPORT, W.Va. — Bridgeport City Council will consider two zoning changes, discuss the Cherry Grove development and review potential changes to the city’s election cycles during its Oct. 26 meeting. The regular meeting is scheduled for… -
Early voting underway in West VirginiaPeople enter the polling location at the Woody Williams Center for Advanced Learning and Careers as early voting for the Nov. 3 primary election begins on Wednesday, Oct. 21, 2026, at the Huntington Mall in Barboursville. David Eakle, of… -
Election 2026: Tom Takubo, Wes Holden run for State Senate District 17 (full term)This is a composite image from left: State Sen. Tom Takubo and Wes Holden. In the 2026 election, Takubo is the Republican nominee, and Holden is the Democratic nominee for the West Virginia Senate 17th District. Editor's note: This is one… -
Election 2026: Anne Charnock, Richie Robb run for State Senate District 17 (unexpired)This is a composite image from left: State Sen. Anne Charnock and Richie Robb. In the 2026 election, Takubo is the Republican nominee, and Holden is the Democratic nominee for the West Virginia Senate 17th District part seat. Editor's… -
Election 2026: Candidates for State Senate District 7; Boone, Logan, Lincoln, KanawhaThis is a composite image of State Sen. Zack Maynard, R-Lincoln, left; Cindy Brake, center; and Shawn Legg, right. In the 2026 election, Maynard is the Republican nominee for the West Virginia Senate 7th District. Brake is the Democratic… -
Early voting begins today in the Eastern PanhandlePending an agreement between South Berkeley Volunteer Fire Company and Berkeley County, this fire hall may be the county's newest early voting site. MARTINSBURG - Early voting for the Nov. 3 general election begins today in the Eastern… -
Election 2026: Lance Wheeler, Kim Hundley run for State Senate District 8 seatThis is a composite image from left: Lance Wheeler and Kim Hundley. In the 2026 election, Wheeler is the Republican nominee, and Hundley is the Democratic nominee for the West Virginia Senate 8th District. Editor's note: This is one in a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions