Nevada Governor Election: Turnout

Polymarket Elections › Governors Closes Nov 3 · $675 today · $23K traded · $2.9K at stake · prices read 29 min ago

The odds

1.13Mmedian

825,0001.43M

Median 1.13MMiddle half 1.06M – 1.20M

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
<900K	5%	▲ 1	2¢	8¢	$12.20	$3.4K
900K-975K	5%	▼ 4	5¢	6¢	$16.67	$3.9K
975K-1.05M	10%	▲ 5	10¢	11¢	$9.52	$1.9K
1.05M-1.125M	30%	▲ 4	31¢	32¢	$3.11	$3K
1.125M-1.2M	26%	▼ 6	20¢	34¢	$2.94	$6.5K
1.2M-1.275M	11%	▲ 8	3¢	22¢	$4.63	$1.8K
1.275M-1.35M	13%	▲ 13	5¢	22¢	$4.48	$1.1K
1.35M+	1%	▲ 1	0¢	2¢	$52.63	$1.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Nevada Governor

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20 more

Rick Caruso<1%
Alex Padilla<1%
Katie Porter<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa<1%
Stephen Cloobeck<1%
Butch Ware<1%
Betty Yee<1%
Toni Atkins<1%
Kyle Langford<1%
Chad Bianco<1%
Eleni Kounalakis<1%
Daniel Mercuri<1%
Tony Thurmond<1%
Michael Younger<1%
Leo Zacky<1%
Nicole Shanahan<1%
Eric Swalwell<1%
Kamala Harris<1%
Matt Mahan<1%
Elaine Culotti<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesNov 3, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$23K

Today$675

This week$23K

At stake$2.9K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official re

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.