Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

Polymarket Tech › AI Closes Nov 30 · $789 today · $28K traded · $11.7K at stake · prices read 12 min ago

The odds

16%November 30

October 31<1%▼ 2
November 3016%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

October 31: 9% on Oct 20, <1% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
September 30	<1%	▼ 1		2¢	$41.67	$3.7K
October 31	<1%	▼ 2	0¢	0¢		$15.5K
November 30	16%	▼ 1	14¢	18¢	$5.56	$8.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: DeepSeek Pro

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Can decision models like Jev and Laya route a coding agent?DEV Community · 3 days agoWe plugged Laya, a 421M-parameter decision model, into our coding agents as a model router. The plumbing worked in about 112 ms. Deciding when a bigger model actually helps turned out to be the hard part. This write-up covers how the…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesNov 30, 2026 6:59 PM ET

Traded$28K

Today$789

This week$1.9K

At stake$11.7K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if DeepSeek's next Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be part of DeepSeek's core model series (currently the V-series), have a name or model identifier that includes "DeepSeek" and "Pro," and be a new model release designated as newer than DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, regardless of capitalization or naming convention, including subsequently dated builds, decimal version increases, or new generations. For example, a later dated build named in the same manner as DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, a decimal increase such as DeepSeek-V4.1-Pro, or

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions