Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

Polymarket Tech › AI Closes Nov 30 · $7.4K today · $83.1K traded · $6.9K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

>99%October 31

October 31>99%▲ 49
November 30>99%▲ 15

How the odds have moved

October 31: 73% on Oct 20, >99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

Oct 26, 4 PM ETOctober 31: 48% → >99%

No headline about it in the hours around this move.
Oct 23, 11 PM ETOctober 31: 49% → 59%

No headline about it in the hours around this move.
Oct 21, 7 PM ETOctober 31: 55% → 34%
- OpenAI Expands ChatGPT Ads to 89 MarketsIJR News · 5 days ago
- OpenAI disables Browse with Bing in ChatGPTLokmat Times · 5 days ago
- OpenAI adds 4-digit PIN lock to ChatGPT for privacyDaily Beirut · 5 days ago

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Traded
August 31	<1%	▼ 2		1¢	$447
September 30	<1%	▼ 1		0¢	$32.8K
October 31	>99%	▲ 49	100¢	100¢	$26.2K
November 30	>99%	▲ 15	100¢	100¢	$23.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: OpenAI, ChatGPT, OpenAI GPT Terra

Search ›

Paxton Sues OpenAI and Sam Altman, Seeks to Block Minors From ChatGPT@cdnnow · 34 h agoTexas Attorney General Ken Paxton has sued OpenAI and CEO Sam Altman, accusing the ChatGPT maker of marketing its chatbot as safe while failing to protect Texans, including children. The lawsuit, filed Friday in Collin County district…
OpenAI to Train Cutting-Edge AI 'Offline'; Anthropic Makes Same Decision, Impact on ChatGPT and Remaining Loopholesnote（ノート） · 25 h agoAn AI tasked with a practice problem to research a person could not find the answer and threw a question to an external chatbot through a gap in its containment box. This actually happened with an OpenAI model under training on September…
'Dear ChatGPT': 12-year-old wins top youth prize at Australian Poetry Slam – videothe Guardian · 18 h agoBlake Mackenzie, a 12-year-old from Newcastle, has won the top youth prize at the Australian Poetry Slam for his reflections on artificial intelligence. The winning piece, performed at the Sydney Opera House on Sunday night, covered…
Chatbot AI Service Comparison: OpenAI ChatGPT vs Claude vs Gemini (for CRM Actions)DEV Community · 2 days agoShort answer: Choose OpenAI ChatGPT for dynamic casual dialogue, Claude for explainable complex reasoning, and Gemini when minimal-response latency dominates; keep all three behind one CRM action contract. The boundary is simple: the model…
Sweden's Government Offices Block ChatGPT and Claude, Keep Microsoft CopilotDecrypt · 2 days agoSweden's Government Offices—the administrative body supporting the prime minister and cabinet—will block ChatGPT and Claude on staff computers from Monday, directing civil servants to Microsoft's Copilot as the only approved AI tool…
Twelve-year-old wins Australian slam competition prize with poem about ChatGPT: ‘It’s totally unnecessary’the Guardian · 18 h agoWritten the day before Sunday’s grand final, Blake Mackenzie’s poem covers brain rot, loneliness and environmental degradation in the age of AI Loneliness, brain rot and early exposure to porn. Twelve-year-old Blake Mackenzie has summed up…
Intapp Launches Celeste Plug-in for OpenAI's ChatGPT EnterpriseMarketScreener · 3 days agoIntapp said Thursday it is launching its Celeste plug-in for law firms on Microsoft-backed OpenAI's ChatGPT Enterprise. The company said Celeste is an AI coworker that was designed to handle... Intapp Launches Celeste Plug-in for OpenAI's…
Texas Sues OpenAI, Altman Over ChatGPT Safety Claims@law360 · 3 days agoThe Texas attorney general's office sued OpenAI and its chief executive Sam Altman in state court Friday, alleging the company breached consumer protection laws by unleashing a chatbot that often gives harmful advice and is addictive to…
What is OpenAI 'dots'? A Thorough Explanation of 5 Differences from ChatGPT and How to Get Started [2026 Edition]note（ノート） · 47 h agoFrom the 'era of asking AI questions' to the 'era of delegating work to AI'. A service that makes you feel such a change has been released by OpenAI. Its name is 'dots'. It is a new AI agent announced on September 29, 2026. ChatGPT until…
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton sues ChatGPT-maker OpenAI@kbtxnews · 3 days agoTEXAS (The Texas Tribune) - Attorney General Ken Paxton is suing OpenAI, the maker of ChatGPT, for allegedly deceiving and harming Texans. This is the latest in a flurry of lawsuits filed against Big Tech companies and private corporations…
Texas AG Ken Paxton sues OpenAI over ChatGPT safety claimsHouston Chronicle · 3 days agoTexas Attorney General Ken Paxton is suing technology company OpenAI for allegedly failing to protect Texans from the harms of using ChatGPT. Paxton speaks during a news conference with U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright in Houston on…
Human vs. ChatGPT NFL Week 7 betting picks: Human clings to profit as AI claims third straight winOutKick · 35 h agoColin Cowherd predicts the best bets entering Week 7 of the NFL season, including the Cincinnati Bengals, Atlanta Falcons, and Kansas City Chiefs. Apparently, the robot doesn't even have to make money to beat me anymore. ChatGPT finished…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesNov 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$83.1K

Today$7.4K

This week$31.7K

At stake$6.9K

In the news168 headlines today, 1,806 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which reta

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions