Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Verónica Díaz Robles
47%
▼ 2
47¢
54¢
$1.85
$9.2K
Ulises Mejía Haro
16%
▼ 12
12¢
25¢
$4.00
$21.9K
Noemí Berenice Luna Ayala
15%
▲ 7
1¢
34¢
$2.98
$716
Geovanna Bañuelos de la Torre
14%
▲ 3
1¢
32¢
$3.17
$767
Jorge Álvarez Máynez
5%
▲ 6
1¢
11¢
$9.01
$724
José Narro Céspedes
3%
0¢
8¢
$12.99
$2.6K
Julia Arcelia Olguín Serna
3%
1¢
5¢
$18.87
$3K
Alfonso Ramírez Cuéllar
1%
0¢
1¢
$100.00
$810
Arturo Nahle García
1%
0¢
1¢
$90.91
$815
Zaira Ivonne Villagrana Escareño
<1%
0¢
1¢
$930
Rodrigo Reyes Mugüerza
<1%
0¢
1¢
$812
Carlos Peña Badillo
<1%
0¢
0¢
$665
Carlos Alberto Puente Salas
<1%
0¢
0¢
$726
Bennelly Jocabeth Hernández Ruedas
<1%
0¢
0¢
$777
Miguel Ángel Varela Pinedo
<1%
0¢
0¢
$794
Fuensanta Guadalupe Guerrero Esquivel
<1%
0¢
0¢
$678
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Zacatecas Governor, Verónica Díaz Robles, Ulises Mejía Haro
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions