2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
63%Democrats sweep
- Democrats sweep63%▲ 1
- D-House, R-Senate27%▼ 1
- Republicans sweep10%▼ 1
1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
Install
Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory
The odds
22%Republican 5-10%
- Republican 5-10%22%
- Republican 10-15%20%▲ 1
- Republican 0-5%17%▲ 6
- Republican 15-20%15%▲ 3
- Democrat Wins13%▲ 10
- Republican 20-25%9%▼ 1
- Republican 25-30%4%
- Republican 30-35%3%
- Republican 35%+1%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Republican 5-10%: 22% on Oct 20, 22% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 5-10% | 22% | 22¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | $1.8K | |
| Republican 10-15% | 20% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | $2.8K |
| Republican 0-5% | 17% | ▲ 6 | 16¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | $261 |
| Republican 15-20% | 15% | ▲ 3 | 15¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | $1.3K |
| Democrat Wins | 13% | ▲ 10 | 3¢ | 29¢ | $3.44 | $187 |
| Republican 20-25% | 9% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | $3.2K |
| Republican 25-30% | 4% | 1¢ | 10¢ | $10.42 | $161 | |
| Republican 30-35% | 3% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.71 | $174 | |
| Republican 35%+ | 1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $43.48 | $704 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All senate ›Texas Senate winner? (2026)
62%James Talarico
- James Talarico62%
- Ken Paxton39%
Texas Senate Election Winner
62%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)62%
- Ken Paxton (R)38%▲ 1
Maine Senate winner? (2026)
63%Troy Jackson
- Troy Jackson63%▲ 3
- Susan Collins38%▼ 3
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
63%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party63%
- Republican Party38%▼ 1
Michigan Senate winner? (2026)
69%Abdul El-Sayed
- Abdul El-Sayed69%
- Mike Rogers32%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.