Modi out by June 30, 2027?
11%chance
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Modi out by December 31, 2026?
The odds
4%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 4% on Oct 20, 4% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | 4¢ | 4¢ | $25.64 | $428K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Modi
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India's Narendra Modi sworn in for third term as prime ministerJune 9, 2024 / 11:11 AM EDT / AP India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi took office for a third consecutive term on Sunday, but it may hold more challenges for the popular-but-polarizing leader than his past decade in power. His Hindu… -
PM Modi may implement a Kamaraj-like planRecent decisions by Prime Minister Narendra Modi strongly suggest that he has begun implementing a strategy reminiscent of the ‘Kamaraj Plan’, a political manoeuvre once employed by Congress leader K. Kamaraj. However, there is a… -
CM Modi to PM Modi: A tale of continuity and evolutionThis year, the US is celebrating 250 years since its Declaration of Independence. In October, India marked a very different but unusual milestone: 25 years since Narendra Modi first assumed executive office — first as chief minister (CM)… -
Modi, Shah, Rajnath Align National Security With Viksit Bharat“Prime Minister’s message reflected the wide scope of police responsibilities in a country as large and diverse as India. -
PM Modi’s call: Unite against divisive forcesNew Delhi: Highlighting emerging challenges and societal ills over the decades, Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Friday called for collective efforts to address them, unite society against divisive forces and inspire citizens towards… -
PM Modi extends greetings to ITBP personnel on their Raising DayPrime Minister Narendra Modi today extended his greetings to all personnel of the Indo-Tibetan Border Police (ITBP) on their Raising Day. New Delhi, Oct 24: Prime Minister Narendra Modi today extended his greetings to all personnel of the… -
PM Modi to inaugurate RBI's Rs 169-crore data centre in OdishaPrime Minister Narendra Modi is scheduled to visit Odisha on Sunday to inaugurate the Reserve Bank of India’s Rs 169-crore data centre and Cybersecurity Training Institute, news agency Press Trust of India reported, citing officials. The… -
BJP prepares Varanasi air show, welcomes PM Modi with rose petalsHome » Nation and Beyond » BJP prepares Varanasi air show, welcomes PM Modi with rose petals The Generation Z of Kashi is preparing to shower rose petals in a colourful tribute ahead of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to Varanasi, his… -
Prime Minister Modi holds official talks with the President of IndonesiaModi receives Indonesia’s highest Civil Honour Addresses the Indonesian parliament NEW DELHI, JULY 07, 2026: As part of Modi receives Indonesia’s highest Civil Honour Addresses the Indonesian parliament NEW DELHI, JULY 07, 2026: As part of… -
PM Modi to visit Uttar Pradesh and Odisha on October 25Prime Minister Narendra Modi will visit Uttar Pradesh and Odisha on Sunday (October 25), where he will inaugurate a garment manufacturing facility in Varanasi, witness the Indian Air Force's aerial display at Namo Ghat and inaugurate the… -
Patna-Purnia Expressway: PM Modi to Launch Construction on November 20Saharsa: Construction of the proposed Patna-Purnia Expressway, a six-lane greenfield highway expected to improve connectivity between north Bihar and the state capital, is scheduled to be formally launched by Prime Minister Narendra Modi… -
Putin and Modi instruct governments on trade development — ambassador to RussiaThis instruction was given by the Russian and Indian leaders following their joint participation in the BRICS summit, Indiaâs ambassador to Russia Vinay Kumar said - Russian Politics & Diplomacy Russian Politics & DiplomacyInto section…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.