Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
4%chance
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India strike on Pakistan by...?
The odds
9%December 31, 2026
- December 31, 20269%
How the odds have moved
December 31, 2026: 10% on Oct 20, 9% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31, 2026 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $91.5K | ||
| December 31, 2026 | 9% | 7¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | $346K | |
| October 31 | <1% | 0¢ | $193K | |||
| November 14 | <1% | 0¢ | $105K | |||
| November 30 | <1% | 0¢ | $65.9K | |||
| December 31 | <1% | 0¢ | $208K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: India, Pakistan
Search ›- Pakistan vs. England free live stream: How to watch Pakistan ODI tri-series clash in IndiaPakistan will look to secure a berth in the final as they take on England in the fourth match of the ODI Tri-Series 2026 at Lahore on Sunday. Pakistan won their first two matches, beating Sri Lanka by 37 runs and England by 87 runs, while…
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Why India must watch President Muizzu's Pakistan outreachThe three vessels, part of the Indian Navy’s First Training Squadron, arrived in the Maldives as part of a long-range training deployment. Welcomed by the Maldives National Defence Force (MNDF), they are participating in a programme that… -
England lose to Pakistan after stunning Shadab tonHaris Rauf (back) and Shadab Khan (front) shared a record 10th-wicket partnership to defeat England England 241 (46.4 overs): Duckett 105 (111), Shaheen 4-46 Pakistan won by one wicket England somehow lost another one-day international… -
Trump Again Claims Tariff Threat Ended India-Pakistan Conflict; India Rejects AccountU.S. President Donald Trump has once again claimed credit for ending the conflict between India and Pakistan, saying a threat of heavy tariffs forced both nuclear-armed neighbors to stop fighting. India has repeatedly rejected his version… -
Trump claims 250% tariff threat halted India-Pakistan conflictUS President Donald Trump has claimed he averted an all-out war between nuclear-armed neighbours India and Pakistan last year by threatening both nations with punitive trade tariffs of up to 250 percent, India Today reports.Addressing a… -
India Calls Pakistan a ‘Form 47 Government’ Ruled by Military at UNNew Delhi: Accusing Islamabad of attempting to malign New Delhi through propaganda while diverting attention from its domestic challenges, including economic distress, lawlessness and human rights violations, India came down heavily on… -
‘Pakistani army is the real ruler’: India slams Islamabad's propaganda at UNIndia launched a sharp attack on Pakistan at the United Nations, accusing Islamabad of using an international forum to spread propaganda against New Delhi while ignoring its own human rights record and the military's influence over its… -
Pakistan v England: tri-series one day international cricket – liveLive ODI cricket updates from 8am GMT Sri Lanka stun England with second-highest ODI chase Reports are it’s nice and sunny in Lahore. Should be a belter of a day. Expect loads of runs. While you settle in, why not catch up on some reading… -
Donald Trump Claims Tariffs Ended India-Pakistan ConflictMuskan Lodhi is a Correspondent at The CSR Journal and a postgraduate in journalism. She has covered a diverse range of topics, including finance, sports, and entertainment. Always plugged into the digital world, she enjoys exploring… -
Vacate Illegally Occupied Territory in J&K: India Slams Pakistan at UNNew York: India slammed Pakistan for misusing the United Nations forum to spread propaganda. New Delhi firmly asserted that Jammu and Kashmir remains an integral and inalienable part of India, while demanding that Pakistan vacate all… -
India slams Pakistan at UN, says military remains country’s ‘real rulers’Updated - October 25, 2026 11:51 am IST - United Nations India strongly hit back at Pakistan’s attempts at the UN to paint a “propagandist” picture of New Delhi, saying Islamabad’s “Form 47 government” can “dare not” override instructions… -
Iran remains open to talks with US under Pakistan-brokered deal, envoy saysBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. ISLAMABAD — Iran…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions