GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
Nov 24, 2026even chance by
- October 3116%▼ 4
- November 1534%▼ 3
- November 3062%▲ 11
2 more
- December 1572%▼ 4
- December 3177%▼ 10
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US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
The odds
16%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 18% on Oct 20, 16% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 16% | 15¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | $109K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AI model, artificial intelligence, Chinese AI
Search ›-
Washington’s DeepSeek ban may deter US firms from adopting Chinese AI models: expertsThe US government’s latest ban on Chinese artificial intelligence start-up DeepSeek could have a chilling effect on the wider American business community and deter companies from adopting low-cost Chinese AI models, industry experts say… -
Anthropic’s Claude AI model accessed Georgia voter data in USAnthropic sued for allegedly using 274 Elvis songs to train AI models Anthropic’s Claude model accessed voter data in the US state of Georgia, the AI company has confirmed, in the latest example of unauthorised behaviour by the technology… -
Anthropic sued for allegedly using 274 Elvis Presley songs to train AI modelsAuthentic Brands Group says AI company infringed on rights of songs by the King such as Can’t Help Falling in Love Authentic Brands Group, the licensing organization that has ownership of both Presley’s music and likeness, is accusing… - Moonshot AI Scales Back Cyberattack Capabilities in New Chinese AI ModelThe Beijing-based company announced the safeguards on Saturday while unveiling Kimi K3.1 Pro, which it describes as its most capable model in the three-trillion-parameter class of open-weight artificial intelligence systems. Moonshot plans…
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Artificial intelligence bot accesses Georgia voting dataAn artificial intelligence agent accessed publicly available Georgia voter data, sources from the Secretary of State’s Office and AI company Anthropic confirmed. On Monday, Anthropic confirmed its Claude artificial intelligence bot… -
Artificial IntelligenceFor Prelims: Artificial Intelligence (AI), Weak AI, Strong AI, Differences Between AI, ML and DL, Types of AI. For Mains: Indigenization of Technology & Developing New Technology, Awareness in Different Fields, Advantages of AI… -
US-China AI rivalry: Can Trump and Xi agree on rules for the artificial intelligence race?The United States and China are racing for artificial intelligence dominance, but the technology's growing risks may also require them to work together. As US President Donald Trump prepares to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping in… -
Forced to pick, Grok’s AI model chooses Republicans. OpenAI’s picks Democrats.Buy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. Most AI chatbots won’t outright tell you who to vote for, but some of the models behind them will. A new study found that when forced to choose in this year’s upcoming… -
Did Texas use artificial intelligence to call fourth-down play against Florida? Longhorns AD clarifies reportArch Manning 2026 season at Texas has far underperformed what many expected out of a potential top-10 draft pick in the 2027 NFL Draft. Ryan Leaf speaks with Craig Carton about Manning's season so far. On the same day that the University… -
Bihar Partners With 11 IT Firms To Train Government School Teachers In Artificial IntelligenceBihar's Education Department has partnered with 11 information technology (IT) companies, including Google Education, to deliver specialised training in information technology and artificial intelligence (AI) to the government school… -
HKEX Launches Artificial Intelligence and Semiconductor IndicesHKEX is also pleased to announce that it has entered into a licensing agreement with China Southern Asset Management Company Limited (Southern Asset Management) for the introduction of exchange traded funds (ETFs) based on the HKEX… -
Best Artificial Intelligence Stocks To Follow Today – October 25thSentinelOne, Tempus AI, and Hut 8 are the three Artificial Intelligence stocks to watch today, according to MarketBeat’s stock screener tool. Artificial intelligence stocks are shares of publicly traded companies that develop, provide, or…
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All ai ›Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
54%Anthropic
- Anthropic54%▲ 1
- Google36%
- OpenAI6%
12 more
- xAI1%
- Meta1%
- Alibaba1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Baidu<1%
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
89%Google
- Google89%▲ 3
- Anthropic9%▼ 1
- OpenAI1%
18 more
- Meta<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
48%December 31, 2027
- December 31, 202613%▼ 1
- December 31, 202748%▼ 8
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.26Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.26T.
- Reaches $1.5T96%
- Reaches $1.75T84%
- Falls to $800B4%
- Falls to $700B4%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
73%No release by October 31
- No release by October 3173%
- October 2717%▲ 4
- October 294%
11 more
- October 313%▲ 4
- October 282%▼ 1
- October 302%
- October 201%▼ 12
- October 19<1%▼ 2
- October 21<1%▼ 5
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 23<1%▼ 4
- October 24<1%
- October 25<1%▼ 1
- October 26<1%▼ 4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions