Nebraska Senate winner? (2026)
73%Pete Ricketts
- Pete Ricketts73%▼ 2
- Dan Osborn26%▲ 2
- Cindy Burbank<1%
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Nebraska Senate Election Winner
The odds
72%Pete Ricketts (R)
- Pete Ricketts (R)72%▼ 2
- Independent27%▲ 2
- Democrat<1%
How the odds have moved
Pete Ricketts (R): 71% on Oct 20, 72% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Ricketts (R) | 72% | ▼ 2 | 72¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | $537K |
| Independent | 27% | ▲ 2 | 27¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | $365K |
| Democrat | <1% | 0¢ | $113K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Kalshi
- Nebraska Senate winner? (2026)Pete Ricketts (R)Kalshi 73%Polymarket 72%1 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Nebraska Senate
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Dan Osborn's 'AI Companies Can’t Buy Me' Boast Just Imploded SpectacularlyIt looks like Dan Osborn – the "independent" Nebraska Senate candidate who looks, acts, talks, and fundraises like a Democrat – has a problem telling the truth about more than just his party affiliation, at least according to a new report… -
Rep. Don Bacon blasts Dan Osborn over ‘anti-Jewish’ adBacon, a moderate Nebraska Republican: ‘I reject the anti-Jewish and anti-Israel messaging. [Nebraska] is better than this’ Rep. Don Bacon (R-NE) talks with reporters in the Capitol Visitor Center on Wednesday, June 24, 2026. Rep. Don… - Mallory McMorrow blames fake poll for disrupting her Senate campaignA made-up polling firm is facing backlash for releasing imaginary numbers, including for some of Michigan’s key races. In June, Wedgewood Polls released a survey that showed state Sen. Mallory McMorrow (D-Royal Oak) down to single-digit…
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Nebraska Senate race: Independent Dan Osborn backed by Democrats, NRSC claimsEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
Youth voting leader rips Trump’s failed promises: Voters ‘were used’Donald Trump’s 2024 coalition appears to be disintegrating as he retreats to solid red districts in the critical final days before the midterms. Santiago Mayer, Executive Director of Voters of Tomorrow, joins The Weeknight to break it… -
Democratic senator torches GOP failure to rein in Trump and MuskDem senator torches GOP FAILURE to rein in Trump and Musk MS NOW Democratic senator torches GOP failure to rein in Trump and Musk Youth voting leader rips Trump’s failed promises: Voters ‘were used’ Trump’s coziness with Putin criticized… -
Fischer highlights child care, business support during Columbus visitElon Musk said Tuesday that a merger of his two companies SpaceX and Tesla would âbe "a good idea" and that they had formed special committees to discuss a union, sending shares of the space and technology company up 8% in extended… -
Trump’s coziness with Putin criticized by ex-White House official: ‘Victim blaming’ mentalityDonald Trump has just confirmed that he's open to meeting with Russia's Vladimir Putin and China's Xi Jinping to negotiate an end to the war in Ukraine, under terms that would likely be favorable to Putin. Nayyera Haq, former White House… -
Sen. Jon Ossoff warns against ‘complacency’ in final stretch to midterms: ‘Take nothing for granted’With just 15 days until midterm election night, Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff joins The Weeknight to explain how he’s targeting voters’ concerns about the cost of living and inflation. Roy Cooper rips GOP-backed mail ballot restrictions: ‘People… -
Trump complains Fox News showcasing Democrats to be 'politically correct'Trump has long feuded with the network over its editorial decisions and alleged bias against him. Trump has long feuded with the network over its editorial decisions and alleged bias against him. President Donald Trump continued his… -
Trump ramps up criticism of Fox News over Dan Osborn interviewThe remarks followed Trump's earlier criticism of the network the same day, in which he complained that the network was "promoting the Dumocrats" over an interview the network held with Democratic Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions