María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
Install
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?
The odds
4%December 31
- December 314%
How the odds have moved
December 31: 6% on Oct 20, 4% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31 | <1% | 0¢ | $303K | |||
| June 30 | <1% | 0¢ | $492K | |||
| December 31 | 4% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $18.18 | $33.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Raul Castro, Ex-Cuba
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Florida issues Raul Castro arrest warrant over 1996 shoot downFormer Cuban dictator Raul Castro faces an arrest warrant from Florida over the 1996 shoot down of civilian planes. Congressman Carlos Jimenez tells Stuart Varney that state and federal authorities are pursuing justice for the murder of… -
Florida Issues Warrant for Raúl Castro—Who. Raúl Castro, 95, Cuba’s former leader, is charged in Florida with conspiracy to commit first-degree murder. —What. A state judge signed a no-bond arrest warrant over the 1996 shootdown of two civilian planes that killed four men… -
Cuban American lawmakers hail Raúl Castro arrest warrant, vow to keep fighting for Cuba’s freedomFIRST ON FOX: Cuban-American lawmakers are welcoming a Florida arrest warrant for former Cuban leader Raúl Castro over his alleged role in the 1996 shootdown of two civilian aircraft, saying the move marks a new step toward accountability… -
Venezuela’s Ruling Socialists Condemn Florida for Raúl Castro Arrest WarrantThe United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV) on Wednesday condemned the arrest warrant issued by a judge in Florida against Cuba's nonagenarian communist dictator Raúl Castro — reiterating support for their ideological mentors in the… -
China Condemns U.S. Arrest Warrant for Raúl Castro, Paying Lip Service to Cuba Without Actually HelpingThe Chinese Foreign Ministry belatedly condemned on Wednesday the issuing of an arrest warrant by Florida authorities for Raúl Castro, the 95-year-old communist dictator of Cuba, referring to the widely hated repressor as a “venerated… -
Moscow and Beijing Defend Raúl Castro; Russia Warns of Potential Cuban Migrant SurgeThursday, October 22, 2026 by Oscar Guevara In a recent development, both Russia and China have rejected the arrest warrant issued in Florida against Raúl Castro. However, Moscow has taken a step further by warning that social unrest in… - Venezuela’s PSUV Rejects US Warrant for Raúl Castro’s Arrest, Reaffirms Solidarity With CubaCaracas (OrinocoTribune.com)—The ruling United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV) rejected the US arrest warrant issued for Cuban revolutionary leader Raúl Castro, describing the warrant as an imperialist act of intimidation and…
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Venezuela Condemns US Warrant for Raul Castro as Washington Escalates Pressure on CubaIn a statement on Wednesday, the PSUV rejected the warrant as lacking a legitimate legal basis and violating international law and Cuban sovereignty, while calling on Latin American and Caribbean countries to stand with Havana against what… -
Paquito D'Rivera Expresses Doubt Over Florida's Arrest Warrant for Raúl CastroWednesday, October 21, 2026 by Zoe Salinas Cuban saxophonist and clarinetist Paquito D’Rivera responded with skepticism and irony to the state arrest warrant issued by Florida against Raúl Castro. He dismissed it as “blah, blah, blah,”… -
Bruno Rodríguez dismisses the arrest warrant against Raúl Castro and evades a question about VenezuelaWednesday, October 21, 2026 - 2:51 PM The Cuban Minister of Foreign Affairs, Bruno Rodríguez Parrilla, avoided directly answering whether the Cuban regime fears that the arrest warrant issued in the United States against Raúl Castro could… -
China Condemns U.S. Legal Action Against Raul CastroOctober 21, 2026 Hour: 9:45 am On Wednesday, China opposed the “abuse of judicial means” to pressure Cuba and urged the United States to “immediately end the blockade” against the island following the issuance of an arrest warrant in… -
Florida issues new arrest warrant of charges against Cuba's Raúl CastroCBS News Florida issues new arrest warrant of charges against Cuba's Raúl Castro Temperatures in South Florida cool down with showers in the forecast at the end of the week Congresswoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz's Sunrise office threatened…
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